PolyBot

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.17% in September?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.51. down 0.12 over the period, from 0.63. Range 0.49 to 0.65. 15 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.5488
0.582028
0.592048
0.654088
0.6630118
0.6820138
0.7320158
0.9713171
0.98532703
0.9916719

Spread0.06Mid0.51

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.4811
0.428485
0.41150235
0.355240
0.136246
0.0313258
0.0232290
0.0116306

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.5211
0.588485
0.59150235
0.655240
0.876246
0.9713258
0.9832290
0.9916306

Spread0.06Mid0.49

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.4688
0.422028
0.412048
0.354088
0.3430118
0.3220138
0.2720158
0.0313171
0.02532703
0.0116719

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
NoSteinNoGateYes120
2samYes54.8
0x440ecB602d49B1799A4f1e0a4edF7452bf434907-1768438074252Yes41
LeChatonFatYes40
hp210210Yes35
0x4629…f3b1Yes30
tradetosurvive1Yes25.46
bullbull88Yes20
sanmos111Yes20
0x9140…f62cYes20
boofaYes8.08
0xee8e…ddd1Yes3.87
0x3d61…75c8Yes3.39
0x5d8d…4d3aYes3.39
0xcfb6…343fYes2.68
MrYanDaoYes2.61
0x6b0e…2688Yes2.45
0x4242…a14aYes1.89
0xfac8…10ffYes1.89
title1No227.74

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:16:02SELLNo0.4621$9.62
09:01:24BUYYes0.59$4.50
08:46:24SELLYes0.4812$5.95
08:37:03SELLYes0.5220$10.39
08:31:59SELLNo0.4850753282134$65.04
08:29:14SELLNo0.4924$11.95
08:17:18SELLNo0.520$10.00
07:31:44SELLYes0.481$0.48
07:31:17SELLYes0.4920$9.80
07:30:51BUYYes0.489999986823$11.11
07:30:50SELLNo0.525$2.60
07:13:09BUYNo0.725$3.60
07:13:08BUYYes0.515$7.50
07:13:06BUYYes0.3221$6.72
07:11:41SELLNo0.796666666760$47.80
07:03:38BUYNo0.4213871185267$112.40
07:00:20SELLNo0.3921$8.20
06:51:44SELLYes0.583$1.80
05:47:08BUYYes0.599$5.31
05:40:39BUYYes0.58999991453$2.00
05:40:39BUYNo0.4199999795$2.00
05:40:12BUYNo0.41999992313$1.42
05:39:54BUYYes0.5935$20.65
05:39:47BUYYes0.58999991453$2.00
05:39:27BUYYes0.59120$70.80