sanmos111
0x8a5701aa5eea36a696fb3d09b16644734b400358
- Realised P&L
- $-528.89
- Volume
- $20.0k
- Markets traded
- 437
- Open portfolio
- $480.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded437
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.32at 0.067Will "My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$17.20at 0.080Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?
- +$16.92at 0.077Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
- +$12.20at 0.390Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?
- +$12.04at 0.070Will Trump say "Save America Act" during his rally with Darline Graham?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 14:39 | Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $1.82 |
| 09-24 14:39 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in August? | SELL | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 09-24 14:39 | Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $4.26 |
| 09-24 14:39 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 09-24 14:39 | Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 09-24 14:39 | Will William Foxen win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year? | SELL | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 09-24 14:39 | Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 09-24 14:39 | Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 09-24 14:39 | Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 09-24 14:39 | Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? | SELL | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 09-24 14:39 | Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.534 | $10.68 |
| 09-24 14:39 | Will Gracinha Caiado win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election? | SELL | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 08-22 01:20 | Will Pat McFadden be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.40 |
| 08-22 01:20 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 01:20 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.054 | $1.08 |