0xcfb68664585bf809d5dcbea1dde56346dfed343f
0xcfb68664585bf809d5dcbea1dde56346dfed343f
- Realised P&L
- $0.30
- Volume
- $341.65
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $6.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.885 | $2.81 | +$0.62 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September? · No | 0.550 | 0.955 | $2.07 | +$0.88 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.17% in September? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.565 | $1.51 | +$0.09 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · No | 0.250 | 0.019 | $0.17 | −$2.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.70at 0.227Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$6.23at 0.260US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$5.05at 0.308Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$3.73at 0.370US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$3.66at 0.382Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 23:14 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September? | BUY | 0.5499998382 | $1.19 |
| 09-23 23:14 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.17% in September? | BUY | 0.5299998582 | $1.42 |
| 09-23 03:12 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.4499999692 | $2.19 |
| 09-23 03:12 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.5599998977 | $2.19 |
| 09-22 18:50 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.7699999578 | $2.19 |
| 09-20 22:41 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999118 | $2.19 |
| 09-19 23:17 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.19 |
| 09-19 07:46 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.19 |
| 09-18 22:32 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.7199999211 | $2.19 |
| 09-14 22:28 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999759 | $2.19 |
| 09-14 13:40 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6899997921 | $2.19 |
| 09-14 05:39 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999605 | $2.19 |
| 09-13 21:38 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999755 | $1.69 |
| 09-08 13:47 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $224 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999322 | $2.19 |
| 09-08 05:34 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 8? | BUY | 0.419999977 | $2.19 |