PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

bullbull88

0x30088d72c826065532ca9d0b25c66ccaa1c63c76

Realised P&L
$4.4k
Volume
$423.9k
Markets traded
6,529
Open portfolio
$83.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded6,529
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration47.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will The Oscars win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)? · No0.7720.690$13.79$1.65
Will Leavitt say "Alien" during the next White House Press Briefing? · Yes0.8000.570$11.40$4.60
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in August? · Yes0.6200.560$11.20$1.20
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.4970.475$9.50$0.44
Will The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)? · Yes0.5320.535$5.80+$0.04
Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool? · Yes0.6050.429$5.15$2.11
Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? · Yes0.3800.210$4.20$3.40
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea? · No0.3780.184$3.68$3.88
Will Shaun Deeb win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year? · No0.6900.690$2.76$0.00
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · Yes0.1140.097$1.94$0.34
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? · Yes0.1900.102$1.91$1.65
Will Tina Browne  be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0610.077$1.54+$0.32
Will New People win the next Moscow Oblast Parliament elections? · Yes0.0170.254$1.27+$1.18
Will James Wood lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? · Yes0.1890.048$0.96$2.82
Will Carson Carels win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? · Yes0.3000.048$0.95$5.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 11:57Will Connor Farrell win the 2026 PLL Face-Off Player of the Year?SELL0.002$0.04
08-03 11:57Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the September interest rate announcement?SELL0.004$0.08
08-03 11:57Will New People win the next Orenburg Oblast Parliament elections?SELL0.008$0.16
08-03 11:57Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?SELL0.05$0.45
08-03 11:57Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?SELL0.507$0.51
08-03 11:57Will White House post 200+ posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?SELL0.031$0.62
08-03 11:57Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?SELL0.11$0.80
08-03 11:57Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?SELL0.3$1.23
08-03 11:57Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.07$1.34
08-03 11:57Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?SELL0.104$2.08
08-03 11:57Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than or equal to 0.0%?SELL0.113$2.26
08-03 11:57Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?SELL0.932$2.34
08-03 11:57Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?SELL0.835$2.53
08-03 11:57Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?SELL0.142$2.84
08-03 11:57Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?SELL0.145$2.90