PolyBot

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Traders

bullbull88

0x30088d72c826065532ca9d0b25c66ccaa1c63c76

Realised P&L
$-3.8k
Volume
$535.7k
Markets traded
8,652
Open portfolio
$550.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,652
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by November 30, 2026? · No0.9600.985$19.70+$0.50
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · No0.9520.967$19.34+$0.30
Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player? · Yes0.9340.925$18.30−$0.18
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026? · No0.8550.800$16.01−$1.09
Will Agapito win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.7900.785$15.70−$0.10
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9200.918$13.78−$0.02
Will the Bank of Japan make no change to the uncollateralized overnight call rate at the January meeting? · Yes0.7700.660$13.20−$2.20
Will "The One About Matthew Perry: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week? · Yes0.9300.980$12.78+$0.65
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by December 31? · Yes0.2600.610$12.20+$7.00
Will the Bank of England make no change to the Bank Rate at the March meeting? · Yes0.7500.605$12.10−$2.90
Will the Bank of England increase the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the February meeting? · Yes0.6700.575$11.50−$1.90
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by December 31? · Yes0.3500.570$11.40+$4.40
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30, 2027? · No0.6400.525$10.50−$2.30
Will the Bank of Japan make no change to the uncollateralized overnight call rate at the March meeting? · Yes0.6800.535$10.49−$2.84
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? · No0.5950.557$10.40−$0.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 12:12Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?SELL0.41$1.75
10-31 14:19Republican House odds hit 8% by November 1?SELL0.001$0.02
10-31 14:19Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?SELL0.08$0.36
10-31 14:19Will the Democratic Party win the FL-23 House seat?SELL0.02$0.40
10-31 14:19Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by November 30?SELL0.51$0.51
10-31 14:19Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.04$0.80
10-31 14:19Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?SELL0.48$1.08
10-31 14:19Will any other model be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?SELL0.056$1.12
10-31 14:19Democratic Senate odds 66-68% on November 2?SELL0.12$1.20
10-31 14:19Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC after March 2027?SELL0.38$7.60
10-31 14:19Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 1?SELL0.11$2.20
10-31 14:19Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 5, 2026?SELL0.66$3.27
10-31 14:19Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October?SELL0.22$4.05
10-31 14:19Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 2?SELL0.73$12.41
10-31 14:19Will the median home value in the US be between $403,000 and $407,000 on December 31?SELL0.4$8.00