bullbull88
0x30088d72c826065532ca9d0b25c66ccaa1c63c76
- Realised P&L
- $4.4k
- Volume
- $423.9k
- Markets traded
- 6,529
- Open portfolio
- $83.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded6,529
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration47.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$178.30at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
- +$102.79at 0.031Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
- +$74.89at 0.020Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
- +$67.29at 0.056Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
- +$63.34at 0.030Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 11:57 | Will Connor Farrell win the 2026 PLL Face-Off Player of the Year? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 08-03 11:57 | Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the September interest rate announcement? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.08 |
| 08-03 11:57 | Will New People win the next Orenburg Oblast Parliament elections? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.16 |
| 08-03 11:57 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.45 |
| 08-03 11:57 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.507 | $0.51 |
| 08-03 11:57 | Will White House post 200+ posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.62 |
| 08-03 11:57 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.80 |
| 08-03 11:57 | Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.23 |
| 08-03 11:57 | Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.34 |
| 08-03 11:57 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June? | SELL | 0.104 | $2.08 |
| 08-03 11:57 | Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than or equal to 0.0%? | SELL | 0.113 | $2.26 |
| 08-03 11:57 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.932 | $2.34 |
| 08-03 11:57 | Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.835 | $2.53 |
| 08-03 11:57 | Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.142 | $2.84 |
| 08-03 11:57 | Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.145 | $2.90 |