0x440ecB602d49B1799A4f1e0a4edF7452bf434907-1768438074252
0x440ecb602d49b1799a4f1e0a4edf7452bf434907
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $31.7k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.675 | $1.0k | +$37.50 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.800 | $176.80 | +$44.20 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.17% in September? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.575 | $23.57 | +$1.44 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April? · Yes | 0.336 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$435.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$791.11at 0.408Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?
- +$371.02at 0.639Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?
- +$363.16at 0.738Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?
- +$277.69at 0.445Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?
- +$221.64at 0.866Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 00:26 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.65 | $975.00 |
| 09-24 00:25 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.17% in September? | BUY | 0.54 | $22.14 |
| 09-24 00:24 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? | BUY | 0.6 | $132.60 |
| 09-20 17:53 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027? | BUY | 0.7278465482 | $1.0k |
| 09-15 00:00 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.11 | $187.00 |
| 07-15 23:56 | Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | SELL | 0.81 | $47.25 |
| 07-13 00:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7848378291 | $145.19 |
| 07-13 00:29 | Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | SELL | 0.7689229477 | $146.50 |
| 07-07 00:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8496988573 | $991.17 |
| 07-05 23:38 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.59 | $1.0k |
| 05-25 00:41 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May? | BUY | 0.4323408 | $216.17 |
| 05-13 00:01 | Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | BUY | 0.7652760865 | $145.80 |
| 05-04 00:19 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April? | BUY | 0.4187745098 | $341.72 |
| 05-04 00:18 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April? | BUY | 0.41 | $41.00 |
| 05-01 00:20 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April? | BUY | 0.36 | $48.19 |