0x42422521c1bbacb40fd073cd6789f04052c4a14a
0x42422521c1bbacb40fd073cd6789f04052c4a14a
- Realised P&L
- $-4.62
- Volume
- $68.48
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $2.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.955 | $1.49 | +$0.49 |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.230 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.205 | $0.46 | −$0.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.61at 0.389S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?
- +$1.17at 0.460US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$0.87at 0.540Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?
- +$0.77at 0.570S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 31?
- +$0.68at 0.600Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 19:09 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:12 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:11 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:32 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 15:00 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:30 | Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 03:30 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 15:19 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 05:08 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 18:52 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 08:08 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $189 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 22:38 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 13:10 | Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 21:35 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 09:25 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 8? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |