0xfac8171bf75cf87aa4239fa484422e7968cb10ff
0xfac8171bf75cf87aa4239fa484422e7968cb10ff
- Realised P&L
- $2.74
- Volume
- $69.61
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $4.98
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.680 | 0.890 | $1.31 | +$0.31 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.880 | $1.26 | +$0.26 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.17% in September? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.575 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.305 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.090 | $0.33 | −$0.67 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · No | 0.250 | 0.019 | $0.08 | −$0.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.31at 0.308Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?
- +$2.10at 0.329WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on September 23?
- +$1.80at 0.363Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$1.15at 0.470WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 18?
- +$0.90at 0.530Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 07:58 | Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 23:58 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.17% in September? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 15:58 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 07:47 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on September 23? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 10:38 | Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 02:37 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 05:55 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:43 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 23:17 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:07 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 12:14 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 18? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 17:25 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 10:43 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 17:43 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 01:24 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |