PolyBot

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in September?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.07. down 0.60 over the period, from 0.68. Range 0.04 to 0.68. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.09150150
0.10290440
0.1725465
0.2520485
0.2630515
0.3660575
0.5314589
0.5650639
0.6213652
0.7620672
0.8411683
0.8688771

Spread0.03Mid0.07

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.06150150
0.0550200
0.04114314
0.02221535
0.018543

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.94150150
0.9550200
0.96114314
0.98221535
0.998543

Spread0.03Mid0.93

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.91150150
0.90290440
0.8325465
0.7520485
0.7430515
0.6460575
0.4714589
0.4450639
0.3813652
0.2420672
0.1611683
0.1488771

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6dYes175.99
tradetosurvive1Yes144.3
LornaPredictsYes122.69
FihdrzgddYes79.2
nana130299Yes65.66
feiyuyeYes60
a5533Yes50
pootytherewardfarmerYes44
Dr.PNLYes40.52
infoowlYes40
HaradwaithYes32.19
0x4629…f3b1Yes30
frontiertradeYes30
AJSVYes22.75
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.Yes20
0x8f83d9aeE0904Ee17A8a80857056dB3b8Cb888DD-1786436206033Yes17.65
ConsensusOfCredibleReportingYes14.04
BatyKarenYes7.57
0xbada…d874Yes6.01
PPMTYes3.91

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:31:12BUYYes0.09650$4.80
21:31:12SELLNo0.9450$47.00
21:29:34BUYYes0.06100$6.00
22:23:52BUYNo0.9350$46.50
22:23:45BUYNo0.9350$46.50
22:23:39BUYNo0.92708450$46.35
14:35:27BUYNo0.9220$18.40
14:35:01BUYNo0.92100$92.00
14:34:37BUYNo0.9260$55.20
14:34:24BUYNo0.9260$55.20
14:34:24BUYNo0.9220$18.40
14:33:03SELLYes0.0820$1.60
14:33:01SELLNo0.940$36.00
14:33:00BUYNo0.9140$36.40
12:01:55SELLNo0.90$0.33
10:39:51SELLYes0.0920$1.80
03:59:33BUYNo0.9160$54.60
03:58:18BUYNo0.943$38.30
03:58:07BUYNo0.8820$17.60
03:58:07SELLYes0.120$2.00
03:58:06BUYNo0.8760$52.20
17:55:19SELLYes0.1320$2.60
17:54:22SELLNo0.8515$13.01
13:18:16SELLYes0.146$0.84
13:05:46SELLYes0.124421518114$1.69