PolyBot

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Traders

0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d

0xf27de6607cbd15be1133619b9807ff63fb86e6d3

Realised P&L
$28.7k
Volume
$5.28M
Markets traded
1,335
Open portfolio
$22.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,335
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? · Yes0.1940.165$2.6k−$457.11
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? · No0.2490.455$2.3k+$1.0k
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? · No0.2730.320$1.8k+$268.55
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? · No0.3280.300$1.8k−$164.06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · Yes0.4240.525$1.1k+$212.35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes0.3210.245$1.1k−$343.40
Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026? · No0.5570.695$831.84+$164.53
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.5610.595$777.79+$44.35
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · No0.4420.260$653.90−$457.97
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.2740.255$637.41−$47.93
US imports Russian diesel by November 15? · No0.3630.600$615.28+$242.98
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · Yes0.2540.080$539.97−$1.2k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · Yes0.5300.525$525.00−$5.00
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · No0.3850.175$514.11−$615.74
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? · No0.2030.375$475.39+$218.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:30China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.08$2.98
11-01 20:16Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?SELL0.08$0.46
11-01 20:16Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?SELL0.0910667805$4.27
11-01 19:29Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?SELL0.2$107.48
11-01 19:28Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?SELL0.71$520.43
11-01 15:10US imports Russian diesel by December 31?SELL0.4$294.46
11-01 14:11Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1394258153$24.28
11-01 14:11Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1292857143$18.10
11-01 14:10Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?BUY0.26625$42.60
11-01 14:03Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?SELL0.75$20.92
11-01 14:02Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?SELL0.76$24.93
11-01 14:02Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?SELL0.76$5.47
11-01 14:02Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7862616822$42.06
11-01 13:58Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?SELL0.1915060241$63.58
11-01 13:56US imports Russian diesel by November 30?SELL0.49$149.80