0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d
0xf27de6607cbd15be1133619b9807ff63fb86e6d3
- Realised P&L
- $28.7k
- Volume
- $5.28M
- Markets traded
- 1,335
- Open portfolio
- $22.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,335
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.3kat 0.082Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
- +$2.4kat 0.124Maduro out by February 28, 2026?
- +$1.9kat 0.375Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.210Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$1.2kat 0.283Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:30 | China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.98 |
| 11-01 20:16 | Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.46 |
| 11-01 20:16 | Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | SELL | 0.0910667805 | $4.27 |
| 11-01 19:29 | Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $107.48 |
| 11-01 19:28 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | SELL | 0.71 | $520.43 |
| 11-01 15:10 | US imports Russian diesel by December 31? | SELL | 0.4 | $294.46 |
| 11-01 14:11 | Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1394258153 | $24.28 |
| 11-01 14:11 | Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1292857143 | $18.10 |
| 11-01 14:10 | Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.26625 | $42.60 |
| 11-01 14:03 | Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $20.92 |
| 11-01 14:02 | Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $24.93 |
| 11-01 14:02 | Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $5.47 |
| 11-01 14:02 | Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7862616822 | $42.06 |
| 11-01 13:58 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1915060241 | $63.58 |
| 11-01 13:56 | US imports Russian diesel by November 30? | SELL | 0.49 | $149.80 |