0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d
0xf27de6607cbd15be1133619b9807ff63fb86e6d3
- Realised P&L
- $24.5k
- Volume
- $4.96M
- Markets traded
- 1,229
- Open portfolio
- $22.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,229
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.3kat 0.082Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
- +$2.4kat 0.124Maduro out by February 28, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.210Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$1.2kat 0.283Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?
- +$876.69at 0.499Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 20:22 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | BUY | 0.041 | $1.72 |
| 09-16 20:18 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | BUY | 0.041 | $11.59 |
| 09-16 19:54 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.66 | $13.20 |
| 09-16 19:54 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.63 | $314.37 |
| 09-16 19:54 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.615 | $24.60 |
| 09-16 16:19 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.34 | $94.27 |
| 09-16 16:17 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.3690970869 | $77.67 |
| 09-16 08:51 | U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $88.54 |
| 09-16 06:17 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.395 | $162.76 |
| 09-16 06:17 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.394 | $29.86 |
| 09-16 06:16 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $159.93 |
| 09-15 21:19 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | BUY | 0.04 | $203.67 |
| 09-15 21:09 | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.10 |
| 09-15 20:36 | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.09 |
| 09-15 20:35 | Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $28.40 |