PolyBot

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Traders

BatyKaren

0xd4b6e5c44a5a9306d0445881e924e7f4e03d7e4e

Realised P&L
$-311.95
Volume
$113.9k
Markets traded
1,039
Open portfolio
$38.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,039
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-03 House election by 5%-10%? · Yes0.3500.260$5.20−$1.80
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Attorney General election? · No0.2100.225$4.50+$0.30
Will Salihu Danladi win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election? · No0.3200.325$3.06+$0.05
Will the Democrats win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.2200.140$2.80−$1.60
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 170,000 and 190,000? · Yes0.2700.125$2.50−$2.90
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-01 House election by 55%-60%? · Yes0.1200.137$2.25+$0.27
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-08 House election by 20%-25%? · Yes0.1900.108$2.16−$1.64
Will Ncedo Kumbaca be the next mayor of Buffalo City? · Yes0.4300.380$1.90−$0.25
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be 1,200,000 or more? · Yes0.2100.215$1.72+$0.04
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be less than 900,000? · Yes0.1800.084$1.50−$1.73
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 5%-10%? · Yes0.2500.064$1.27−$3.73
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 10%-15%? · Yes0.1400.072$1.15−$1.09
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 10%-15%? · Yes0.1600.057$1.14−$2.06
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-03 House election? · Yes0.1900.041$0.81−$2.99
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award? · No0.4580.031$0.78−$10.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 21:32Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Indiana Secretary of State election?BUY0.56$11.76
09-03 23:27UMass vs. RutgersSELL0.281$8.43
09-02 17:37Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?SELL0.74$14.80
09-02 17:37Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?SELL0.58$11.60
08-20 17:42Will Sergio Meneguelli win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?SELL0.48$9.60
08-20 17:12Will Weverton Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?SELL0.65$13.01
08-20 17:12NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.55$2.75
08-20 17:12NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.48$12.48
08-20 17:12NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?SELL0.606$6.06
08-20 16:03Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?SELL0.06$1.20
08-20 11:26Will Gladson Camelí win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?SELL0.1$2.00
08-20 11:26Will Mara Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?SELL0.15$3.66
08-20 11:26Will Dr. Junior Feitosa win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?SELL0.21$8.28
08-20 11:26Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on August 31, 2026?SELL0.84$25.20
08-20 11:26Will Petecão win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?SELL0.25$9.85