PolyBot

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.024. down 0.021 over the period, from 0.045. Range 0.023 to 0.045. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0283030
0.0295080
0.030585
0.031100185
0.0403,0053,190
0.0455,0008,190
0.05010,33418,524
0.1201,00019,524
0.14312019,644
0.1444919,693
0.4201019,703
0.70010019,803

Spread0.008Mid0.024

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0201111
0.0151223
0.0147295
0.012744839
0.0105221,362
0.0021101,472
0.001150,065151,537

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9801111
0.9851223
0.9867295
0.988744839
0.9905221,362
0.9981101,472
0.999150,065151,537

Spread0.008Mid0.976

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9723030
0.9715080
0.970585
0.969100185
0.9603,0053,190
0.9555,0008,190
0.95010,33418,524
0.8801,00019,524
0.85712019,644
0.8564919,693
0.5801019,703
0.30010019,803

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
DancewithRiskYes1,000
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes120
xixihaha009Yes114
MajasYes100
Dr.PNLYes83.01
AJSVYes80.66
2B9SYes68.52
0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338Yes50
0xe50c19A43bDd336B171e481E5630dc5e8F73D88C-1780110031415Yes25
OldfarmYes22.11
explorer221Yes20.91
GuyFromTinderYes20.62
BrianmYes20.3
PPMTYes17.73
0xf609…7ad8Yes16
TerranSupremacyYes14.99
26lkkdasdsaYes14.59
brightKongYes12.5
NatalieJones5294Yes11.42
striveboyYes10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:50:54SELLYes0.028$0.15
04:17:54SELLYes0.0230$0.60
04:17:30SELLYes0.0330$0.90
04:17:18SELLYes0.0330$0.90
04:17:07SELLYes0.0330$0.90
04:17:01BUYNo0.9730$29.10
04:16:57BUYNo0.9650$48.00
04:16:48SELLYes0.03120$3.60
04:16:46SELLYes0.03531$15.93
04:16:42SELLYes0.0350$1.50
04:16:40SELLYes0.03400$12.00
04:16:40SELLYes0.03102$3.06
04:16:37BUYNo0.961,287$1235.55
08:58:22SELLNo0.9510$9.50
08:21:21SELLNo0.9510$9.56
17:26:00SELLNo0.950$0.19
16:40:06SELLNo0.950$0.39
09:01:37SELLYes0.0450$2.00
07:50:57SELLNo0.9450$47.00
07:50:54SELLNo0.9550$47.50
07:50:52SELLNo0.9550$47.50
07:50:51SELLNo0.9550$47.50
06:10:34BUYYes0.0550$2.50
15:29:55BUYYes0.0650$3.00
15:29:55BUYYes0.059122807114$6.74