NatalieJones5294
0x18fab2ce7c0a6ba503c3cc64bb19df6bc9723730
- Realised P&L
- $389.71
- Volume
- $201.2k
- Markets traded
- 195
- Open portfolio
- $9.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded195
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rippling IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.135 | $8.60 | −$16.25 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.055 | $0.63 | −$1.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$901.63at 0.350Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
- +$422.02at 0.104Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. IU Indy Jaguars
- +$274.50at 0.500XRP Up or Down - February 11, 10PM ET
- +$265.20at 0.490Solana Up or Down - February 26, 2AM ET
- +$247.08at 0.210Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Akron Zips
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 03:47 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $157.74 |
| 04-21 03:11 | Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.22 | $110.00 |
| 04-13 09:44 | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | SELL | 0.81 | $769.50 |
| 04-13 09:33 | Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April? | SELL | 0.77 | $438.13 |
| 04-13 07:10 | Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April? | BUY | 0.83 | $472.27 |
| 04-13 06:24 | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.78 | $741.00 |
| 04-13 06:08 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $351.33 |
| 04-13 03:55 | Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $539.57 |
| 04-12 15:57 | Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $558.45 |
| 04-12 09:32 | Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $95.20 |
| 04-12 09:30 | Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $120.40 |
| 04-12 09:23 | Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 04-12 05:30 | Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $226.38 |
| 04-12 04:50 | Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $588.75 |
| 04-12 04:03 | Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.84 | $420.00 |