26lkkdasdsa
0x38a46fccff1b72be55b9f7087f0ce0cf71f54ef2
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $3.85M
- Markets traded
- 3,003
- Open portfolio
- $227.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,003
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.00at 0.022Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
- +$44.06at 0.027Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 12?
- +$39.88at 0.004Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?
- +$36.02at 0.003Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
- +$33.55at 0.004Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 20:05 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.151 | $1.90 |
| 08-15 23:32 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.14 | $4.23 |
| 08-15 16:01 | Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.045 | $0.37 |
| 08-14 21:38 | Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.045 | $0.27 |
| 08-14 21:34 | Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.045 | $0.27 |
| 08-14 20:16 | Makina FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.094 | $0.62 |
| 08-14 20:13 | Makina FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.094 | $0.64 |
| 08-14 20:10 | Makina FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.094 | $0.68 |
| 08-14 20:06 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.026 | $0.69 |
| 08-14 19:59 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.028 | $0.31 |
| 08-14 19:52 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.56 |
| 08-14 19:30 | Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.27 |
| 08-14 19:27 | Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.27 |
| 08-14 10:21 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.032 | $0.19 |
| 08-13 19:53 | Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Pedro Munhoz next? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.15 |