PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Oldfarm

0x510b4b5093ce5fb297bfc03ac2d7c766051cda8d

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$97.8k
Markets traded
463
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded463
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027? · No0.9470.979$366.15+$12.07
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.5470.660$282.11+$48.46
Relay FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9070.921$243.85+$3.77
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B? · Yes0.8670.979$186.59+$21.26
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.3990.410$160.85+$4.36
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? · No0.9600.962$155.92+$0.31
Neutrl FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9410.984$103.31+$4.43
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? · No0.9330.955$70.34+$1.59
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026? · No0.8760.966$54.27+$5.03
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.8290.855$47.91+$1.44
Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.8950.925$46.24+$1.49
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? · No0.9200.952$45.67+$1.51
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? · No0.9730.967$39.92$0.27
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B? · No0.8130.870$38.64+$2.52
Relay FDV above $900M one day after launch? · Yes0.0770.115$31.27+$10.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:37Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.63$18.90
08-02 21:37Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.64$19.20
08-02 21:37Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.64$19.20
08-02 21:37Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.64$38.40
08-02 10:20Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?SELL0.07$9.45
08-01 18:57Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.847$0.85
08-01 18:57Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.29$0.29
08-01 18:57Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.13$2.34
08-01 18:41Pacifica FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.16$1.12
08-01 18:18Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?BUY0.11$1.10
08-01 17:40Pacifica FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.13$0.96
08-01 15:17Concrete FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.37$9.25
08-01 13:09Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.38$1.52
08-01 13:09Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.66$2.64
08-01 13:07Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.37$1.85