PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-02-01
Resolves by
https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.238. up 0.045 over the period, from 0.194. Range 0.065 to 0.360. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.239240240
0.242121361
0.24320381
0.24438419
0.249180599
0.25026625
0.25339664
0.25520684
0.25920704
0.41817721
0.41915737
0.42040777

Spread0.001Mid0.238

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.238101101
0.237285386
0.23469454
0.23320474
0.228180654
0.22458713
0.22044757
0.21820777
0.18240817
0.05080897
0.04971968
0.04820988

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.762101101
0.763285386
0.76669454
0.76720474
0.772180654
0.77658713
0.78044757
0.78220777
0.81840817
0.95080897
0.95171968
0.95220988

Spread0.001Mid0.762

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.761240240
0.758121361
0.75720381
0.75638419
0.751180599
0.75026625
0.74739664
0.74520684
0.74120704
0.58217721
0.58115737
0.58040777

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
R0ontYes445.8
HDGBYes291.6
rocky42023Yes290
zeitfi-vault-v2Yes110.71
needleladderYes79.63
0x3a9d…f332Yes61.15
Hugin-og-MuninYes59.5
tryrktryYes50
234g4Yes40
haouibaoYes35
0xd0d9…30f2Yes35
BeeYouYes26
aHjCzYes23.32
Specialist200303Yes20.5
SlackjawYes20
23g24gbYes20
cigarettesYes20
dg112Yes20
midprice-monkYes17.94
pootytherewardfarmerYes17

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:18:52SELLNo0.756795228610$7.61
20:14:57BUYYes0.1895$0.95
20:14:57BUYYes0.1895$0.95
20:14:27BUYYes0.1895$0.95
20:14:24BUYYes0.1895$0.95
20:14:22BUYYes0.1895$0.95
20:14:21BUYYes0.1895$0.95
19:46:28BUYYes0.1865$0.93
19:46:27BUYYes0.1865$0.93
19:46:25BUYYes0.1865$0.93
19:46:24BUYYes0.1865$0.93
14:43:18SELLYes0.182141$25.69
13:50:19SELLYes0.1822,056$374.12
13:49:54BUYNo0.8022520$16.05
13:49:54SELLYes0.18620$3.72
13:45:13SELLYes0.18920$3.78
11:33:00SELLYes0.1895$0.95
11:33:00SELLYes0.195$0.95
11:26:58SELLYes0.1865$0.93
11:26:58SELLYes0.1875$0.94
11:26:57SELLYes0.1975$0.99
11:26:57SELLYes0.2015$1.01
11:26:55SELLYes0.18630$5.58
10:42:42BUYYes0.18710$1.87
10:42:22BUYNo0.78410$7.84