PolyBot

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Traders

23g24gb

0xa53239cb9e2af2a4f53012fa02fe6ee2e7c3cc03

Realised P&L
$-4.4k
Volume
$217.1k
Markets traded
375
Open portfolio
$10.19

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded375
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration84.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2920.026$5.23−$52.29
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%? · Yes0.4100.238$4.77−$3.43
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.3120.028$0.14−$1.47
Jerome Powell federally charged by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.015$0.04−$0.10
Will Christopher Bouchat win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$1.37
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m? · No0.0570.000$0.00−$8.55
Will Carl Brunner win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$0.30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00−$4.50
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$12.00
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m? · Yes0.1010.000$0.00−$15.10
Will Mary Peltola win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round? · No0.5850.000$0.00−$23.40
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$0.90
Will Rick Brattin be the MO-05 Republican nominee? · No0.2000.000$0.00−$8.00
Will Vahn Lackey be drafted in the top 3 in the 2026 MLB Draft? · No0.2350.000$0.00−$18.80
Will Robert Wessels win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$0.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-18 12:51Israel closes its airspace by August 31?SELL0.95$6.31
07-12 10:30Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?SELL0.75$15.00
07-05 13:57Will LOS Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2SELL0.761825$60.95
06-23 14:33Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.86$387.00
06-23 14:25Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.86$3.9k
05-25 05:12US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?SELL0.6$16.80
04-25 12:59Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?BUY0.039$1.76
04-25 12:59Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?BUY0.039$1.76
04-25 12:59Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?BUY0.039$1.76
04-25 12:59Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?BUY0.039$1.76
04-12 17:27Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?SELL0.85$17.00
04-07 08:43Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?SELL0.76$38.00
04-04 12:42Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.042$2.10
04-01 01:39Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?SELL0.31$12.62
03-31 14:04Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?SELL0.57$28.50