PolyBot

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Traders

rocky42023

0xd035fd5f4d6bec4a73dc2fc11fe35c13c3acf165

Realised P&L
$-18.7k
Volume
$10.33M
Markets traded
6,985
Open portfolio
$5.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,985
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7? · No0.0800.996$713.50+$656.17
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? · No0.9790.979$247.54−$0.13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.5780.579$243.93+$0.57
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.5900.645$193.50+$16.50
Will the Democratic Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms? · No0.1270.145$173.89+$21.22
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-06 House election by 30%-35%? · No0.8360.935$172.97+$18.33
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below? · No0.2430.240$156.38−$2.30
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? · No0.3970.375$136.78−$8.04
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? · No0.1300.115$131.75−$17.21
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.4330.438$131.02+$1.50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4250.421$125.94−$1.11
US imports Russian diesel by November 15? · Yes0.4100.400$119.65−$3.11
Will the Bank of Japan make no change to the uncollateralized overnight call rate at the January meeting? · Yes0.6120.660$112.85+$8.23
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? · Yes0.4030.370$111.00−$10.00
Will "The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time" have a Metascore of at least 90? · Yes0.7800.790$106.63+$1.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 10:10Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?SELL0.232$1.16
11-01 09:43Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?SELL0.282$1.41
10-31 22:00Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on November 1?SELL0.54$2.70
10-31 14:20Will the Bank of Japan make no change to the uncollateralized overnight call rate at the January meeting?SELL0.54$11.88
10-31 13:39Will the ECB make no change to the deposit facility rate at the February meeting?SELL0.79$31.60
10-31 13:08Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 1?SELL0.56$11.20
10-31 11:20Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 2?SELL0.37$5.18
10-30 10:54Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?SELL0.721$14.42
10-30 07:02India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs IndiaSELL0.57$64.41
10-30 05:40Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?SELL0.215$2.36
10-30 00:10Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?SELL0.095$10.83
10-29 22:31Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?SELL0.905$25.34
10-29 22:27Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?SELL0.316$25.28
10-29 22:11Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 31?SELL0.58$2.90
10-29 20:40US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.602$34.31