rocky42023
0xd035fd5f4d6bec4a73dc2fc11fe35c13c3acf165
- Realised P&L
- $-18.7k
- Volume
- $10.33M
- Markets traded
- 6,985
- Open portfolio
- $5.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,985
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.255Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5
- +$1.2kat 0.463Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
- +$1.1kat 0.407Raptors vs. Magic
- +$1.1kat 0.128Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5
- +$1.1kat 0.022Next US strike on Syria on December 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 10:10 | Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%? | SELL | 0.232 | $1.16 |
| 11-01 09:43 | Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%? | SELL | 0.282 | $1.41 |
| 10-31 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 10-31 14:20 | Will the Bank of Japan make no change to the uncollateralized overnight call rate at the January meeting? | SELL | 0.54 | $11.88 |
| 10-31 13:39 | Will the ECB make no change to the deposit facility rate at the February meeting? | SELL | 0.79 | $31.60 |
| 10-31 13:08 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 10-31 11:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.37 | $5.18 |
| 10-30 10:54 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.721 | $14.42 |
| 10-30 07:02 | India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India | SELL | 0.57 | $64.41 |
| 10-30 05:40 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.215 | $2.36 |
| 10-30 00:10 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.095 | $10.83 |
| 10-29 22:31 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.905 | $25.34 |
| 10-29 22:27 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.316 | $25.28 |
| 10-29 22:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 10-29 20:40 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.602 | $34.31 |