PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-02-01
Resolves by
https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.042. down 0.041 over the period, from 0.082. Range 0.038 to 0.094. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.073120120
0.07420140
0.1479149
0.14868217
0.27711228
0.28243271
0.34475346
0.345100446
0.40750496
0.408168664
0.4113441,008
0.4851001,108

Spread0.063Mid0.041

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0101010
0.009112122
0.0079131
0.00650181
0.004206387
0.00312399
0.002223622
0.00111,18911,811

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9901010
0.991112122
0.9939131
0.99450181
0.996206387
0.99712399
0.998223622
0.99911,18911,811

Spread0.063Mid0.959

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.927120120
0.92620140
0.8539149
0.85268217
0.72311228
0.71843271
0.65675346
0.655100446
0.59350496
0.592168664
0.5893441,008
0.5151001,108

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
LornaPredictsYes312.7
R0ontYes235.78
TENETENETYes100
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Yes100
AJSVYes73.99
Hugin-og-MuninYes70
akunaiYes63.55
0x3a9d…f332Yes61.14
tryrktryYes50
Specialist200303Yes20.5
0x35F7926390C8aC7CB54c6B643063ee1F9584C68A-1789870260333Yes20
PPMTYes20
coldhotYes19.99
triklozoidYes15
Mojito9Yes13.74
dsfd3Yes10
haouibaoYes5
densoYes5
mustbethewaterYes4.98
LucerysYes1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:04:51SELLYes0.03620$0.72
19:04:41BUYYes0.0220$0.40
19:04:38BUYNo0.96320$19.26
19:04:38BUYNo0.948153846265$61.63
18:22:17BUYYes0.0585$0.29
11:33:22BUYYes0.03928$1.08
13:03:57BUYYes0.002117$0.23
16:43:04BUYNo0.9997$6.56
16:43:00SELLYes0.0013$0.00
00:13:28BUYYes0.0025$0.01
00:13:22BUYYes0.0025$0.01
02:05:12BUYYes0.034999999561$2.14
16:21:36BUYYes0.03521$0.72
07:36:54SELLYes0.0020$0.00
07:34:58BUYYes0.013$0.03
04:20:21BUYNo0.998109647185$84.84
04:20:21BUYNo0.99943$42.96
04:20:19BUYNo0.9998$7.99
10:46:12BUYYes0.015$0.05
13:30:13BUYYes0.0085$0.04
13:30:09BUYYes0.0085$0.04
13:30:00BUYYes0.0085$0.04
13:29:52BUYYes0.0085$0.04
13:29:45BUYYes0.0085$0.04
12:48:30BUYYes0.0072245$0.04