Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: ..
Rewards: 100 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.043. up 0.003 over the period, from 0.040. Range 0.037 to 0.043. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.044	1,684	1,684
0.045	200	1,884
0.047	204	2,087
0.048	100	2,187
0.050	200	2,387
0.051	211	2,598
0.054	923	3,521
0.058	131	3,652
0.063	138	3,790
0.064	214	4,004
0.068	30	4,034
0.074	329	4,362

Spread0.002Mid0.043

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.042	162	162
0.040	542	704
0.039	400	1,104
0.038	130	1,234
0.037	350	1,584
0.035	250	1,834
0.034	300	2,134
0.032	963	3,096
0.030	500	3,596
0.029	105	3,701
0.027	151	3,852
0.026	300	4,152

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.958	162	162
0.960	542	704
0.961	400	1,104
0.962	130	1,234
0.963	350	1,584
0.965	250	1,834
0.966	300	2,134
0.968	963	3,096
0.970	500	3,596
0.971	105	3,701
0.973	151	3,852
0.974	300	4,152

Spread0.002Mid0.957

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.956	1,684	1,684
0.955	200	1,884
0.953	204	2,087
0.952	100	2,187
0.950	200	2,387
0.949	211	2,598
0.946	923	3,521
0.942	131	3,652
0.937	138	3,790
0.936	214	4,004
0.932	30	4,034
0.926	329	4,362

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
doubtit	Yes	1,613.36
0x483aA3daA586A0EaE14A6168b160c7CE01D88e08-1778807632997	Yes	996.66
dahua	Yes	758.03
Dr.PNL	Yes	600
0x8C7A95Ae25949C11210d42D6bE33580C5F682a74-1768520373297	Yes	530
lightshield	Yes	300
JoeMama4Evah	Yes	285.68
LornaPredicts	Yes	255.51
ViscaElBarca	Yes	200
thecaricature	Yes	136.36
Numitus1994	Yes	104.62
Pre-rich-dude	Yes	100
BSS37	Yes	100
0x8c07…2967	Yes	100
0x9E5e6f2fF613e9513b2aaCfe584522ee1575dff2-1762617394239	Yes	87.33
guoguo1236	Yes	84.46
peepeepooppoop	Yes	79.99
pein.rikudo	Yes	75.02
0xcD3823F3D30006FbA29076FE8888A34B0a7B46e0-1767034928523	Yes	72.75
Biver52	Yes	70.1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
13:02:50	SELL	No	0.956	8	$7.42
04:02:54	SELL	No	0.956	11	$10.04
04:02:13	BUY	No	0.958	11	$10.06
04:01:51	BUY	Yes	0.044	42	$1.85
13:39:43	SELL	No	0.957	177	$169.05
04:04:52	SELL	No	0.958	12	$11.13
04:57:13	BUY	No	0.9629999986	3	$2.71
02:48:45	BUY	No	0.9629999898	2	$1.60
01:43:16	BUY	No	0.9629999958	8	$7.78
14:01:06	BUY	No	0.9629999986	5	$4.82
05:16:42	BUY	No	0.9629999856	1	$1.00
02:34:22	BUY	No	0.9629999969	9	$8.87
21:35:13	SELL	Yes	0.037	5	$0.18
15:23:58	SELL	No	0.956	8	$7.78
15:22:42	BUY	Yes	0.043	100	$4.30
12:35:19	BUY	No	0.963999991	3	$3.00
09:42:00	BUY	No	0.9669999426	7	$6.94
00:41:54	SELL	No	0.956	0	$0.26
10:17:15	BUY	No	0.9653085133	7	$6.98
09:31:57	SELL	No	0.957	8	$7.23
09:31:55	BUY	Yes	0.0393080473	34	$1.32
09:31:55	BUY	Yes	0.0349999995	57	$2.00
16:21:06	SELL	Yes	0.032	3	$0.10
14:37:07	BUY	Yes	0.0327422179	805	$26.37
14:37:07	BUY	Yes	0.036	61	$2.21