Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Resolves by: ..
Rewards: 100 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.14. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.15. Range 0.14 to 0.16. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.15	1,335	1,335
0.16	7,506	8,842
0.17	156	8,997
0.18	30	9,027
0.23	14	9,042
0.24	24	9,065
0.26	4	9,069
0.50	125	9,194
0.74	500	9,694
0.75	25	9,719
0.80	650	10,369
0.84	60	10,429

Spread0.01Mid0.15

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.14	1,273	1,273
0.13	3,988	5,261
0.12	443	5,703
0.09	50	5,753
0.08	69	5,822
0.07	65	5,887
0.06	8	5,895
0.05	110	6,005
0.04	5	6,010
0.03	254	6,264
0.02	115	6,379
0.01	411	6,790

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.86	1,273	1,273
0.87	3,988	5,261
0.88	443	5,703
0.91	50	5,753
0.92	69	5,822
0.93	65	5,887
0.94	8	5,895
0.95	110	6,005
0.96	5	6,010
0.97	254	6,264
0.98	115	6,379
0.99	411	6,790

Spread0.01Mid0.85

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.85	1,335	1,335
0.84	7,506	8,842
0.83	156	8,997
0.82	30	9,027
0.77	14	9,042
0.76	24	9,065
0.74	4	9,069
0.50	125	9,194
0.26	500	9,694
0.25	25	9,719
0.20	650	10,369
0.16	60	10,429

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
doubtit	Yes	1,343.09
dahua	Yes	758.03
0x8C7A95Ae25949C11210d42D6bE33580C5F682a74-1768520373297	Yes	530
0x5d4dd813C30dBEbaf4ae1D852D7c2595D88bbABa-1778031033255	Yes	510.16
JoeMama4Evah	Yes	130.06
Pre-rich-dude	Yes	100
BSS37	Yes	100
InfiG	Yes	91.87
0x9E5e6f2fF613e9513b2aaCfe584522ee1575dff2-1762617394239	Yes	87.33
guoguo1236	Yes	84.46
peepeepooppoop	Yes	79.99
pein.rikudo	Yes	75.02
0xcD3823F3D30006FbA29076FE8888A34B0a7B46e0-1767034928523	Yes	72.75
Biver52	Yes	70.1
mikevandyke	Yes	59.99
0x87593dDe0A778CdA72ca60C482e606d977BDa03D-1771063922390	Yes	57.14
trevisan-cesar	Yes	52.63
0x2f4F909690869627A4B51113E76934619E8F897d-1767795969482	Yes	50
0xe50c19A43bDd336B171e481E5630dc5e8F73D88C-1780110031415	Yes	44.18
CardinalX	Yes	37.36

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
16:51:36	BUY	No	0.86	30	$25.80
21:30:33	BUY	No	0.8599998988	1	$1.02
22:47:47	BUY	No	0.86	31	$26.93
22:30:42	BUY	Yes	0.16	8	$1.30
20:30:51	SELL	Yes	0.14	15	$2.11
15:18:51	SELL	Yes	0.15	10	$1.50
14:34:48	BUY	Yes	0.16	26	$4.11
22:27:00	SELL	No	0.84	30	$25.17
23:29:16	SELL	No	0.84	2	$2.07
23:09:34	BUY	No	0.86	3	$2.15
22:53:20	SELL	Yes	0.14	23	$3.21
21:04:19	SELL	No	0.84	23	$19.63
21:04:16	BUY	Yes	0.16	23	$3.74
11:24:58	BUY	No	0.86	20	$17.20
21:55:28	SELL	Yes	0.14	7	$0.99
13:10:58	BUY	No	0.85	7	$6.00
10:57:07	BUY	No	0.81	5	$4.05
09:05:31	BUY	No	0.88	5	$4.40
04:29:28	SELL	No	0.86	10	$8.60
21:34:58	BUY	Yes	0.1473703704	27	$3.98
20:30:01	BUY	No	0.8699999913	1	$1.00
13:27:42	BUY	No	0.849999983	6	$5.00
05:47:01	BUY	No	0.87	20	$17.40
23:39:03	BUY	No	0.8399999987	95	$80.00
08:05:45	BUY	No	0.8136381222	25	$20.00