0x9E5e6f2fF613e9513b2aaCfe584522ee1575dff2-1762617394239
0x9e5e6f2ff613e9513b2aacfe584522ee1575dff2
- Realised P&L
- $-75.15
- Volume
- $752.23
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $15.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.229 | 0.145 | $12.66 | −$7.34 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.077 | $2.42 | −$2.58 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? · No | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$53.49 |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots · Patriots | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? · No | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.51at 0.430Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$5.71at 0.322Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
- +$3.62at 0.580Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-05 12:39 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.429999987 | $7.59 |
| 03-01 19:57 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |
| 02-17 00:51 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 02-06 22:03 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.32 | $20.00 |
| 02-06 03:23 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999961 | $20.00 |
| 02-06 03:21 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1699999941 | $20.00 |
| 02-06 03:19 | Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2290277687 | $20.00 |
| 01-24 14:29 | Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $53.49 |
| 01-24 14:28 | Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? | SELL | 0.36 | $53.49 |
| 01-09 22:52 | Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? | BUY | 0.3215867803 | $47.78 |