PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

JoeMama4Evah

0x82ca0a78c209857c8ae48e3d6e809de6afe944c8

Realised P&L
$541.94
Volume
$62.6k
Markets traded
117
Open portfolio
$228.40

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded117
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration69.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.7300.890$60.13+$10.81
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? · No0.6600.795$59.32+$10.07
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5700.635$54.74+$5.60
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.6300.755$35.35+$5.85
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.145$18.86+$0.65
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00$54.00
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$15.96
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$67.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 06:06Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?SELL0.087286$21.82
07-29 18:01Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.999$30.42
07-28 18:01Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?SELL0.57$38.51
07-28 15:31Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.07$32.67
07-28 01:46Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?SELL0.56$41.79
07-27 20:46Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?SELL0.4932569303$41.10
07-27 16:15Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.09$42.00
07-27 15:31Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?SELL0.1395139469$36.71
07-27 14:16Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?SELL0.516$8.37
07-27 14:10Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?SELL0.525$28.46
07-27 12:20Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?BUY0.6997686737$49.28
07-27 12:15Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?SELL0.44$47.82
07-27 11:14Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.63$29.50
07-27 11:08Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.805$24.51
07-27 10:40Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2441601664$46.95