JoeMama4Evah
0x82ca0a78c209857c8ae48e3d6e809de6afe944c8
- Realised P&L
- $541.94
- Volume
- $62.6k
- Markets traded
- 117
- Open portfolio
- $228.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded117
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.890 | $60.13 | +$10.81 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.795 | $59.32 | +$10.07 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.635 | $54.74 | +$5.60 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.755 | $35.35 | +$5.85 |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.145 | $18.86 | +$0.65 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.00 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.96 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$67.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.230Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$509.83at 0.081Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$27.22at 0.696Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?
- +$23.58at 0.480Fnatic merger/acquisition announced by September 1, 2026?
- +$17.74at 0.200Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 06:06 | Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.087286 | $21.82 |
| 07-29 18:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $30.42 |
| 07-28 18:01 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.57 | $38.51 |
| 07-28 15:31 | Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $32.67 |
| 07-28 01:46 | Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.56 | $41.79 |
| 07-27 20:46 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4932569303 | $41.10 |
| 07-27 16:15 | Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $42.00 |
| 07-27 15:31 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? | SELL | 0.1395139469 | $36.71 |
| 07-27 14:16 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31? | SELL | 0.516 | $8.37 |
| 07-27 14:10 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31? | SELL | 0.525 | $28.46 |
| 07-27 12:20 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31? | BUY | 0.6997686737 | $49.28 |
| 07-27 12:15 | Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $47.82 |
| 07-27 11:14 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $29.50 |
| 07-27 11:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.805 | $24.51 |
| 07-27 10:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2441601664 | $46.95 |