0x82ca0a78c209857c8ae48e3d6e809de6afe944c8
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $666.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.230Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$507.73at 0.085Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$297.46at 0.259Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$37.07at 0.570Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$27.22at 0.696Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 02:01 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.185 | $59.85 |
| 10-08 01:01 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.5501291375 | $80.94 |
| 10-04 01:08 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.1326744186 | $11.41 |
| 09-19 03:46 | Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $54.09 |
| 09-16 18:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.99 | $403.33 |
| 09-04 12:01 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.325 | $65.00 |
| 08-27 18:46 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1101061619 | $58.29 |
| 08-27 18:31 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.79 |
| 08-23 13:35 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.115974228 | $50.85 |
| 08-23 13:35 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.68 | $100.05 |
| 08-23 13:35 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1895327103 | $101.40 |
| 08-23 13:35 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4641467317 | $118.94 |
| 08-18 12:01 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | SELL | 0.484712968 | $71.47 |
| 08-18 00:46 | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.43 | $3.44 |
| 08-17 20:16 | Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.85 |