dahua
0x2474e39c6cf9c0df04984452aeed4df69c4757c7
- Realised P&L
- $-171.10
- Volume
- $10.2k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $123.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.154 | 0.145 | $109.91 | −$7.16 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.047 | $9.73 | −$10.98 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.009 | $2.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.005 | $1.65 | −$1.35 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.74at 0.077Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
- +$-6.00at 0.024Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?
- +$-128.90at 0.070Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 10:55 | Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0979680303 | $7.23 |
| 06-28 12:10 | Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $7.04 |
| 06-23 08:16 | Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $19.47 |
| 06-23 01:21 | Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999963 | $30.73 |
| 06-20 14:46 | Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $5.95 |
| 06-17 00:34 | Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $16.50 |
| 06-17 00:33 | Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.66 |
| 06-13 10:56 | Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $27.44 |
| 06-11 23:10 | Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.90 |
| 06-04 03:38 | Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.026 | $20.80 |
| 05-19 12:55 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? | BUY | 0.061 | $1.10 |
| 05-19 12:52 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? | BUY | 0.061 | $42.70 |
| 05-19 09:52 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? | BUY | 0.057 | $10.32 |
| 05-17 07:34 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? | BUY | 0.08 | $24.88 |
| 05-17 06:47 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? | BUY | 0.078 | $6.94 |