PolyBot

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Traders

0x483aa3daa586a0eae14a6168b160c7ce01d88e08

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$37.90

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration80.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0210.022$14.97+$1.16
Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by December 31, 2027? · No0.1500.205$14.35+$3.85
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0370.036$7.21−$0.18
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1710.235$1.37+$0.37
Gemini 4.0 released by October 2, 2026? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 00:24AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0256677741$7.73
10-24 10:22Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by December 31, 2027?BUY0.15$10.50
10-24 09:46Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0938953722$46.67
10-24 09:43Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1$10.26
10-23 11:32Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?SELL0.10634$10.63
10-23 11:31AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?SELL0.018$16.09
10-23 11:30Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?SELL0.112$6.07
10-23 11:29AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?SELL0.018$10.00
10-01 00:36Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0076177583$4.03
10-01 00:35Gemini 4.0 released by October 2, 2026?BUY0.2$3.00
09-30 08:29Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2782101163$5.00
09-26 10:08AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?BUY0.021$45.92
09-25 12:26Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1141814667$68.51
09-21 04:08Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?BUY0.044$24.53
09-10 11:13AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0191948052$1.48
Trader 0x483a…8e08 · PolyBot Pro