PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Pre-rich-dude

0x07e06617a12cc3075d51f905187016b22ec91db9

Realised P&L
$-362.79
Volume
$339.6k
Markets traded
718
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded718
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? · Yes0.1620.145$131.65$15.86
Over $1.5B crypto hack value in 2026? · Yes0.5660.535$128.04$7.34
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · Yes0.1110.105$82.95$4.67
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.4940.175$77.38$141.08
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? · Yes0.6590.272$58.19$83.18
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4800.495$54.75+$1.66
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3300.225$45.00$21.00
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? · Yes0.2600.235$42.77$4.55
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? · Yes0.7000.700$42.00+$0.00
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2800.195$39.00$17.00
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1500.430$33.42+$21.76
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1310.065$30.35$30.92
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? · Yes0.7900.300$30.00$49.00
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3090.135$29.77$38.44
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1860.115$28.75$17.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 14:11Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase July 21-27?BUY0.87$43.50
07-22 02:55Will Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.86$8.60
07-20 18:43Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase July 21-27?BUY0.79$7.90
07-09 10:11Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?SELL0.59$17.70
07-08 10:42Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?BUY0.5$25.00
07-08 08:52Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?BUY0.63$31.50
07-08 05:52Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?BUY0.66$19.80
07-07 19:48Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL0.998$19.96
07-07 19:14Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?SELL0.26$19.50
07-07 19:14Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?SELL0.26$6.50
07-07 19:14Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?SELL0.49$49.00
07-07 19:14Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?SELL0.8$88.00
07-07 16:45Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.48$53.09
07-07 11:57Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by July 31, 2026?BUY0.3$2.66
07-07 06:28Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.25$5.00