PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Pre-rich-dude

0x07e06617a12cc3075d51f905187016b22ec91db9

Realised P&L
$1.4k
Volume
$387.3k
Markets traded
797
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded797
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? · Yes0.1420.180$138.17+$29.29
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · Yes0.7140.724$101.29+$1.29
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? · Yes0.4950.465$93.00−$6.00
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5870.285$85.50−$90.50
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4350.185$74.00−$100.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.2000.115$69.00−$51.00
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.041$47.45−$81.82
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · Yes0.1630.055$43.73−$86.08
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.040$39.50−$30.50
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1650.086$34.60−$31.40
Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3400.130$26.00−$42.00
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1740.036$25.20−$96.46
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.055$22.00−$26.00
Will Sui reach $1.60 before 2027? · Yes0.2700.180$18.00−$9.00
Will Sui reach $1.40 before 2027? · Yes0.3400.180$18.00−$16.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 04:17Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0322105729$45.09
10-11 16:03Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.041$16.40
10-11 15:32Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$48.00
10-11 15:16Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.17$3.40
10-07 14:35Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027?SELL0.15$15.00
10-07 14:32Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027?SELL0.1643474858$8.40
10-05 13:18Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?BUY0.75$75.00
10-05 13:17Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 29-October 5?SELL0.999$81.72
10-04 14:25MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase September 29-October 5?BUY0.78$125.54
10-04 14:23Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 29-October 5?BUY0.97$9.51
10-04 06:43Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?BUY0.74$74.00
10-04 06:43Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?BUY0.74$57.68
09-27 19:22Jumper listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?BUY0.37$14.80
09-27 18:33Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin September 22-28?BUY0.99$4.95
09-27 17:51Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.06$18.00