0x7dce96e76b248b2220be03e09629f899ee884682
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 418
- Open portfolio
- $335.72
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded418
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.138Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026
- +$485.08at 0.185Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
- +$104.37at 0.358Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 24?
- +$93.94at 0.667Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
- +$91.54at 0.282Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be between 82.5% and 85%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:48 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.22 |
| 10-31 16:37 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 10-31 00:49 | Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.066 | $3.43 |
| 10-31 00:47 | Will Tesla deliver between 550000 and 575000 vehicles in Q4 2026 | BUY | 0.0125393828 | $1.09 |
| 10-31 00:46 | Will Tesla deliver between 550000 and 575000 vehicles in Q4 2026 | BUY | 0.006 | $0.50 |
| 10-31 00:36 | Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1177852985 | $174.02 |
| 10-29 15:44 | Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.054 | $2.65 |
| 10-28 15:28 | Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.068 | $3.06 |
| 10-28 08:11 | Will the Republicans win Fort Bend County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.053 | $2.18 |
| 10-28 08:11 | Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $4.40 |
| 10-28 08:10 | Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.105 | $4.56 |
| 10-28 07:39 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $13.86 |
| 10-26 19:39 | Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $6.25 |
| 10-26 16:02 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 10-26 00:13 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.89 |