PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe01daa5b317f6ebd5ac17b29b840d4a028d46678

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$29.91

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration69.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1090.036$15.51−$31.46
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1390.032$14.40−$48.04
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? · Yes0.1520.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? · Yes0.4620.000$0.00−$32.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 21:59Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1090341882$46.97
09-25 21:58Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999999$40.00
11-30 11:20Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.22$2.44
11-27 19:39Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.2652771106$20.00
06-22 19:45Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?BUY0.3399999827$12.15
06-22 13:35Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?BUY0.5899999894$20.00
06-22 06:58Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY0.1519999887$10.00
04-02 20:26Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?SELL0.0439583806$32.14
03-23 11:52Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?BUY0.0328250276$24.00
03-11 05:21Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?SELL0.037$8.04
03-07 01:06Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?BUY0.0230000001$5.00
03-02 01:37Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?BUY0.1899999908$15.00
02-28 13:07Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?BUY0.29999997$5.00
02-28 12:56Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of 20-30% on the EU by June 30?BUY0.5089999869$5.00