PolyBot

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Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Resolves by
https://ir.tesla.com/press
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.22. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.24. Range 0.16 to 0.62. 62 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.249595
0.25130225
0.2620245
0.2818263
0.29100363
0.3110373
0.3310384
0.3422406
0.3840446
0.3935481
0.4330511
0.44128639

Spread0.04Mid0.22

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.204040
0.19160200
0.1855255
0.1725280
0.16113393
0.1520413
0.1020433
0.0926459
0.0771530
0.0423553
0.025558
0.0115573

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.804040
0.81160200
0.8255255
0.8325280
0.84113393
0.8520413
0.9020433
0.9126459
0.9371530
0.9623553
0.985558
0.9915573

Spread0.04Mid0.78

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.769595
0.75130225
0.7420245
0.7218263
0.71100363
0.6910373
0.6710384
0.6622406
0.6240446
0.6135481
0.5730511
0.56128639

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
galhammermanYes120
ArmageddonRewardsBillyYes100
gfdgfvfvssddYes80
aliizYes74.24
tradetosurvive1Yes72.74
donthackmeYes62.65
pootytherewardfarmerYes61.05
2B9SYes58.64
AJSVYes48.64
rubby1337Yes35.42
S888Yes32.5
marketmakereYes20
0x4613…7932Yes20
LucerysYes18.4
doubtitYes16
anatoly.rektovenkoYes14.79
ConsensusOfCredibleReportingYes13.12
0x655B4319bC062Dab138C5F07c4EEf7292d8A99A4-1778209386744Yes7.69
1336495348Yes5.91
0x3f36…7a58Yes5.88

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
11:46:24BUYYes0.23999998084$1.00
09:45:27BUYNo0.775$3.85
09:01:24SELLNo0.741$0.84
05:06:56SELLYes0.232$0.46
04:25:45BUYYes0.25999998968$2.00
04:25:45SELLYes0.231$0.34
23:45:51BUYNo0.7520$15.00
23:45:44SELLYes0.2514$3.50
23:45:44BUYNo0.7514$10.49
23:11:20BUYNo0.7510$7.70
21:55:05SELLYes0.278$2.03
18:33:33BUYYes0.1916$3.04
17:56:00BUYYes0.229999999213$2.95
17:32:12BUYNo0.7313$9.58
17:31:59BUYNo0.716$4.27
17:30:50SELLYes0.31100$30.98
17:30:50BUYNo0.70999998820$14.17
17:30:50BUYNo0.709999991521$15.00
16:59:02SELLNo0.660$0.27
16:33:48SELLNo0.6920$13.80
16:31:56SELLYes0.3324$7.76
16:30:26SELLYes0.344$1.20
16:14:56SELLYes0.3420$6.80
16:10:06BUYNo0.6214$8.42
16:10:05BUYNo0.567145346540$306.00