PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

marketmakere

0x1cb061d271b61f61ad55e88e1d7d6608ce5d451d

Realised P&L
$-52.18
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$181.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.4730.360$21.60−$6.80
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 28? · No0.6600.985$19.70+$6.50
Will "Babylon - Taylor Swift" be the #2 US song this week? · No0.7400.855$17.10+$2.30
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1? · No0.6840.720$14.62+$0.73
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 29, 2026? · No0.5900.705$14.10+$2.30
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? · No0.3950.325$13.00−$2.80
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1? · Yes0.1700.645$12.90+$9.50
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September? · Yes0.3550.300$12.00−$2.20
Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $30 in 2026? · Yes0.5300.475$9.50−$1.10
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m? · No0.7100.445$8.90−$5.30
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026? · No0.6800.435$7.75−$4.36
Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · No0.1350.190$7.60+$2.20
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.2540.317$6.34+$1.26
Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026 · Yes0.4200.215$4.30−$4.10
Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 300k? · Yes0.1900.105$4.20−$3.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 16:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.08$1.00