1336495348
0x42762b0f4f564276c970dbf34090d17362bf9b21
- Realised P&L
- $-1.16
- Volume
- $90.41
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $7.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 250M by October 30, 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.961 | $3.24 | +$0.24 |
| Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026 · No | 0.890 | 0.595 | $2.01 | −$0.99 |
| Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026 · Yes | 0.510 | 0.220 | $1.30 | −$1.72 |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 260M by October 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.075 | $0.66 | −$2.34 |
| Will the peak wave height at NY Harbor buoy 44065 be 10 ft or more? · No | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.49at 0.637Will the highest wind gust at NYC LaGuardia be 40 kt or more?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 01:13 | Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026 | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $3.00 |
| 09-26 20:24 | Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026 | SELL | 0.5 | $2.42 |
| 09-26 20:24 | Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026 | BUY | 0.6199999587 | $3.00 |
| 09-26 20:24 | Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026 | SELL | 0.54 | $2.33 |
| 09-26 20:24 | Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026 | SELL | 0.34 | $0.18 |
| 09-26 20:24 | Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026 | BUY | 0.6199999587 | $3.00 |
| 09-26 20:24 | Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026 | SELL | 0.54 | $2.61 |
| 09-26 20:24 | Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026 | SELL | 0.54 | $2.61 |
| 09-26 20:24 | Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026 | BUY | 0.6199999587 | $3.00 |
| 09-26 20:24 | Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026 | BUY | 0.8899999733 | $3.00 |
| 09-26 20:23 | Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026 | BUY | 0.6199999587 | $3.00 |
| 09-26 20:23 | Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026 | SELL | 0.54 | $2.61 |
| 09-26 20:23 | Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026 | BUY | 0.6199999587 | $3.00 |
| 09-23 10:32 | Will the highest wind gust at NYC LaGuardia be 40 kt or more? | BUY | 0.6299999685 | $3.00 |
| 09-23 10:26 | Will US crude oil reserves fall to 260M by October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999773 | $3.00 |