PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

1336495348

0x42762b0f4f564276c970dbf34090d17362bf9b21

Realised P&L
$-1.16
Volume
$90.41
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$7.21

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 250M by October 30, 2026? · No0.8900.961$3.24+$0.24
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026 · No0.8900.595$2.01−$0.99
Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026 · Yes0.5100.220$1.30−$1.72
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 260M by October 30, 2026? · Yes0.3400.075$0.66−$2.34
Will the peak wave height at NY Harbor buoy 44065 be 10 ft or more? · No0.1700.000$0.00−$1.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 01:13Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026BUY0.5099999949$3.00
09-26 20:24Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026SELL0.5$2.42
09-26 20:24Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026BUY0.6199999587$3.00
09-26 20:24Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026SELL0.54$2.33
09-26 20:24Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026SELL0.34$0.18
09-26 20:24Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026BUY0.6199999587$3.00
09-26 20:24Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026SELL0.54$2.61
09-26 20:24Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026SELL0.54$2.61
09-26 20:24Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026BUY0.6199999587$3.00
09-26 20:24Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026BUY0.8899999733$3.00
09-26 20:23Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026BUY0.6199999587$3.00
09-26 20:23Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026SELL0.54$2.61
09-26 20:23Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026BUY0.6199999587$3.00
09-23 10:32Will the highest wind gust at NYC LaGuardia be 40 kt or more?BUY0.6299999685$3.00
09-23 10:26Will US crude oil reserves fall to 260M by October 30, 2026?BUY0.3399999773$3.00