PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4613fd0ac1702f819cc64c67226641a4bad07932

Realised P&L
$-75.47
Volume
$666.36
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$261.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · No0.6530.590$74.34$7.98
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · No0.5110.340$49.98$25.20
Will Trump say "Bully" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · No0.4800.590$24.78+$4.62
Will Trump say "NATO" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · No0.4800.280$23.02$16.45
Will Trump say "Pledge" or "Pledged" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · No0.4800.430$18.06$2.10
Will Trump say "Moon" or "NASA" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · No0.4800.420$17.64$2.52
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by September 30? · No0.6400.615$12.91$0.53
Will Trump say "Moon" or "NASA" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes0.6200.580$12.18$0.84
Will Trump say "Bully" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes0.5900.410$8.61$3.78
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · No0.4700.395$8.29$1.57
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 in September? · No0.3400.285$5.99$1.16
Romanian PM Bolojan out by September 30? · Yes0.4800.495$2.86+$0.09
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes0.3000.045$1.89$10.71
Will Trump's remarks not air? · Yes0.1910.015$0.47$5.72