PolyBot

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Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-13
Resolves by
https://www.nobelprize.org/
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.18. Unchanged over the period, from 0.18. Range 0.18 to 0.27. 17 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.191,7011,701
0.201,4353,136
0.216863,822
0.22203,842
0.233004,142
0.241004,242
0.255304,772
0.26204,792
0.46204,811
0.81104,821
0.881694,990
0.894545,444

Spread0.01Mid0.18

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.181,7351,735
0.171,6073,342
0.161,4954,837
0.071494,986
0.061675,152
0.051005,252
0.041255,377
0.031,0246,401
0.027607,161
0.011,0258,187

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.821,7351,735
0.831,6073,342
0.841,4954,837
0.931494,986
0.941675,152
0.951005,252
0.961255,377
0.971,0246,401
0.987607,161
0.991,0258,187

Spread0.01Mid0.81

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.811,7011,701
0.801,4353,136
0.796863,822
0.78203,842
0.773004,142
0.761004,242
0.755304,772
0.74204,792
0.54204,811
0.19104,821
0.121694,990
0.114545,444

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
tradetosurvive1Yes246
acc42020Yes194
Dr.PNLYes135.82
puravidaYes120
bufogodisYes120
title1Yes100
0xf2Da6437EF9e01CF9B2cC393dbBE91A85ab59385-1777211546173Yes100
chessplayerYes80.1
richarddYes66.66
aliizYes51
galhammermanYes51
sdssdsYes40
AJSVYes38.04
AlphaGoooYes34
0x4629…f3b1Yes30
boopyboopYes20
2samYes20
pelloooYes20
NewFarmVilleYes20
WealthObtainerYes20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:31:07BUYNo0.819999979924$19.55
23:33:02SELLYes0.1850$9.00
23:25:44SELLYes0.1850$9.00
23:25:32BUYNo0.8221$17.22
23:25:31SELLYes0.19300$57.00
21:40:56BUYNo0.816$4.86
21:40:53BUYNo0.80999997416$5.00
20:50:11SELLYes0.1921$3.99
17:53:15SELLYes0.1818$3.25
17:52:41BUYNo0.82100$82.00
17:52:41BUYNo0.81391$316.71
16:44:23SELLYes0.1818$3.25
16:15:44BUYYes0.2120$4.20
16:15:42BUYYes0.21100$21.00
15:24:47BUYYes0.1720$3.40
15:24:47SELLYes0.161$0.18
15:24:23BUYNo0.79587$463.36
15:24:23BUYNo0.815047594539$31.68
15:24:23BUYNo0.800357132921$16.60
14:26:48SELLNo0.7819$14.92
14:24:17SELLNo0.781$0.60
13:34:58SELLYes0.2340$9.20
13:32:15BUYYes0.23999998088$2.00
13:32:00SELLNo0.7640$30.40
13:21:54SELLYes0.2320$4.60