PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

NewFarmVille

0xd9e8ddcbf77093f253d3cf90e50bb79b9183602d

Realised P&L
$-6.12
Volume
$420.00
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$48.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration42.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026? · No0.8300.800$16.00−$0.60
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? · Yes0.7000.465$9.30−$4.70
Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026? · No0.3700.365$7.30−$0.10
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.250$5.00−$0.40
Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31? · Yes0.3400.230$4.60−$2.20
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher? · Yes0.2000.155$3.10−$0.90
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado by October 31? · Yes0.1500.105$2.10−$0.90
Cornell President out by October 31? · Yes0.2700.055$1.10−$4.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 12:18Will Lula win between 41% and 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.295$5.90
09-30 12:18Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?SELL0.51$10.20