PolyBot

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Traders

bufogodis

0xfe1ad779b3ee5e0c3b67d5a6c5882d2f5efe6bcc

Realised P&L
$4.3k
Volume
$170.1k
Markets traded
574
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded574
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting? · No0.9480.996$689.32+$33.43
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5860.735$345.44+$70.05
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1980.927$200.34+$157.57
Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2? · No0.9000.998$149.63+$14.63
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5830.710$107.92+$19.34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8300.825$99.40−$0.60
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3100.205$96.35−$49.25
Will the US lose more than 25k jobs in October? · No0.8690.954$57.21+$5.08
Will Big Walk win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.3940.465$46.45+$7.05
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3760.245$37.17−$19.82
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be at least 2.8%? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$1.32
Will Peter Shor win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$0.60
Will Michael Woodford win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? · No0.8840.000$0.00−$37.04
Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.6M in August? · Yes0.1140.000$0.00−$11.40
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00−$21.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 13:18Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.3$72.00
10-27 13:18No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.63$151.19
10-27 13:16Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.5827565789$88.58
10-27 13:15No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.3756493078$56.99
10-14 10:23Will annual inflation be 4.0% or more in September?BUY0.002$0.42
10-14 10:22Will annual inflation be 3.9% in September?BUY0.0141390678$3.18
10-14 10:22Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September?BUY0.0512752636$10.99
10-14 00:29Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?BUY0.198$42.77
10-14 00:15No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.972$139.85
10-14 00:14Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?BUY0.79$55.30
10-14 00:09Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?BUY0.9$135.00
10-14 00:07Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?BUY0.88$105.60
10-14 00:06Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in October?BUY0.775$62.00
10-14 00:04Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8299999993$100.00
10-13 10:39Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 16?BUY0.27$27.00