pellooo
0xb7782c75bacc642219dce44054f1a932a1460bcb
- Realised P&L
- $-5.21
- Volume
- $6.5k
- Markets traded
- 139
- Open portfolio
- $107.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded139
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.80at 0.030Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
- +$25.23at 0.159Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$16.48at 0.359Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
- +$15.55at 0.150Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?
- +$13.38at 0.164Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 11:57 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 09:12 | Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $6.65 |
| 10-08 06:59 | Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 5-10%? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 07:22 | Spain snap election called in 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $20.79 |
| 10-02 16:11 | Spain snap election called in 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $9.87 |
| 09-16 14:05 | Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes? | SELL | 0.015 | $1.05 |
| 09-14 11:28 | Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.082 | $1.64 |
| 09-14 08:29 | Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.064 | $1.28 |
| 09-14 08:15 | Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? | SELL | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 09-13 06:45 | Will Moderate Party (M) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes? | SELL | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 09-09 07:44 | Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 09-08 21:38 | Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 09-08 20:15 | Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 09-08 20:13 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.631 | $12.62 |
| 08-13 10:47 | Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |