PolyBot

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Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-16
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.10. down 0.20 over the period, from 0.30. Range 0.08 to 0.30. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.119292
0.12401493
0.1317510
0.1420530
0.1522552
0.1625577
0.1728605
0.1830635
0.1933668
0.2111679
0.2730709
0.335714

Spread0.01Mid0.11

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.10276276
0.09376652
0.0820672
0.064451,117
0.05801,197
0.02301,227
0.01801,307

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.90276276
0.91376652
0.9220672
0.944451,117
0.95801,197
0.98301,227
0.99801,307

Spread0.01Mid0.90

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.899292
0.88401493
0.8717510
0.8620530
0.8522552
0.8425577
0.8328605
0.8230635
0.8133668
0.7911679
0.7330709
0.675714

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
xtxpleasecallmeYes504.29
bisonheadYes435.8
Numitus1994Yes375.62
Orion96Yes300
IronEYes278.46
1walrusYes239.7
0x14117f3428c9Fc84b57cF7961b5e9E5F6Dce2410-1773994627349Yes126.43
alternate01Yes99.99
ironstormYes60
youtube-traderYes51.86
0x6B11FB81561815995a6D8Ed3B90dD95D3F4838e8-1772021569855Yes47.16
ShekelYes41.01
apap004Yes41
0x03141505C79F7D82eA4d426105Cb228B4eD92F6d-1766507216051Yes31
0x4629…f3b1Yes30
BurglarkingYes27.61
DeverNoomYes23.56
justcrayonsYes20
tradetosurvive1Yes20
pppnnYes20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
02:28:48BUYNo0.914$12.20
14:26:00BUYNo0.910$9.00
15:23:09BUYNo0.91200$182.00
08:10:34BUYYes0.119999995819$2.29
07:10:21BUYYes0.1210$1.14
06:23:21BUYNo0.935$4.65
06:23:03BUYNo0.92168$154.57
06:22:48SELLYes0.0820$1.60
06:22:28BUYNo0.9170$63.70
03:46:58BUYNo0.994$84.60
22:49:31BUYNo0.987$78.30
07:28:58BUYYes0.1211$1.29
07:10:19BUYYes0.1147$5.17
08:55:37BUYYes0.169999999416$2.70
08:54:58BUYYes0.16999999129$1.54
04:07:34BUYYes0.1099999899$1.00
22:21:08BUYYes0.1099999899$1.00
18:05:05BUYNo0.9773$71.23
12:06:08BUYNo0.8662$53.41
11:57:07SELLNo0.8220$16.48
00:24:15BUYNo0.821$16.80
21:57:59BUYYes0.2320$4.60
21:38:09SELLNo0.7720$15.40
18:18:57BUYYes0.1840$7.20
17:33:08BUYYes0.15120$18.00