0x6B11FB81561815995a6D8Ed3B90dD95D3F4838e8-1772021569855
0x6b11fb81561815995a6d8ed3b90dd95d3f4838e8
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $100.1k
- Markets traded
- 163
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded163
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$518.93at 0.798Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?
- +$449.69at 0.716Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$226.42at 0.660Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$86.49at 0.818Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
- +$70.26at 0.405Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 23:22 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? | BUY | 0.69 | $1.77 |
| 08-03 23:21 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? | BUY | 0.68486 | $3.42 |
| 08-03 23:20 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? | BUY | 0.6732672921 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 23:15 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? | SELL | 0.85 | $17.09 |
| 08-03 23:14 | Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.61584 | $30.79 |
| 08-03 23:10 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode? | BUY | 0.83 | $45.65 |
| 08-03 23:10 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode? | BUY | 0.82 | $33.04 |
| 08-03 23:06 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode? | BUY | 0.81 | $8.51 |
| 08-03 19:30 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during his Executive Order signing? | SELL | 0.99 | $26.05 |
| 08-03 15:45 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during his Executive Order signing? | BUY | 0.7599999954 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 15:38 | Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary? | BUY | 0.3899999928 | $14.00 |
| 08-02 13:59 | Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown? | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 11:03 | Will Trump praise Nicki Minaj in August? | BUY | 0.3484194419 | $25.00 |
| 07-31 20:14 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.0170000004 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 19:58 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? | BUY | 0.7646474669 | $100.00 |