0x6B11FB81561815995a6D8Ed3B90dD95D3F4838e8-1772021569855
0x6b11fb81561815995a6d8ed3b90dd95d3f4838e8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $121.9k
- Markets traded
- 194
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded194
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$518.93at 0.798Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?
- +$449.69at 0.716Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$345.72at 0.787Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?
- +$219.51at 0.670Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$71.35at 0.671Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 01:26 | SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | BUY | 0.35 | $19.95 |
| 09-19 01:20 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 01:18 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 01:17 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 01:17 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 21:33 | Will voters pick the Winchester Model 1873 "Gun that Won the West" (.44-40) as the state gun of Idaho? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 18:08 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 18:08 | Will Trump say "Favorite Word" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 18:07 | Will Trump say "Teleprompter" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 07:39 | Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | SELL | 0.8 | $10.40 |
| 09-16 22:45 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999976 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 21:44 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999997 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 18:37 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.36 |
| 09-15 18:37 | Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.78 | $10.14 |
| 09-15 18:31 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $2.00 |