PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

alternate01

0x5c4ce2053442cc7b19d300ffd39b7f38cd138131

Realised P&L
$-7.0k
Volume
$269.6k
Markets traded
146
Open portfolio
$6.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded146
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 04:40Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.631$44.17
09-24 04:40Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.672$26.88
09-18 07:20US strike on Colombia by December 31?BUY0.85$59.50
09-16 17:47Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.81$81.00
09-12 07:38Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?SELL0.0021479086$0.97
08-24 10:36Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.84$84.00
08-24 10:27US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?BUY0.79$39.50
08-24 10:26US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.945$283.50
08-22 08:19Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?SELL0.37$9.25
08-20 16:36NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?SELL0.1712902053$94.21
08-20 15:30NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2538993333$38.08
08-20 14:52NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?SELL0.61405$122.81
08-20 14:36NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.7$35.00
08-20 07:20Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?SELL0.015$0.60
08-20 07:20Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?SELL0.015$0.60