bisonhead
0xdd9311d19221e811fda903a5a7e2475613b9a22b
- Realised P&L
- $-0.32
- Volume
- $825.8k
- Markets traded
- 372
- Open portfolio
- $193.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded372
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.158Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
- +$1.0kat 0.531Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
- +$903.92at 0.104Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
- +$831.67at 0.061Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
- +$671.61at 0.594Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 16:54 | Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0495049505 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 16:47 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.0258630643 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 14:26 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $5.29 |
| 09-22 14:15 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.0209999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 14:15 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.0301206519 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 14:06 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 13:59 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.0632300816 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 13:59 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 13:59 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.1757631818 | $50.00 |
| 09-21 23:42 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.1105048387 | $138.05 |
| 09-21 21:33 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.0134880089 | $53.48 |
| 09-21 21:31 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $24.45 |
| 09-21 21:31 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.042 | $8.08 |
| 09-21 21:23 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.1287669986 | $96.20 |
| 09-21 19:40 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.0799029292 | $112.79 |