0x03141505C79F7D82eA4d426105Cb228B4eD92F6d-1766507216051
0x03141505c79f7d82ea4d426105cb228b4ed92f6d
- Realised P&L
- $170.09
- Volume
- $93.2k
- Markets traded
- 406
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded406
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$182.94at 0.382Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16?
- +$82.05at 0.147Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
- +$74.11at 0.301Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?
- +$53.68at 0.320US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?
- +$47.39at 0.640Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 01:19 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.012 | $3.60 |
| 10-29 13:49 | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 13:46 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.161 | $6.44 |
| 10-29 13:45 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $7.00 |
| 10-29 13:44 | Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.29 | $2.03 |
| 10-29 13:43 | Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.3 | $24.00 |
| 10-28 18:19 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.89 |
| 10-27 15:58 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.47 |
| 10-27 15:56 | Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 10-27 15:47 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.86 |
| 10-26 12:12 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.35 | $10.50 |
| 10-26 12:10 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.71 | $41.18 |
| 10-25 17:35 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster? | BUY | 0.67 | $7.37 |
| 10-25 17:33 | Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode? | BUY | 0.68 | $17.32 |
| 10-25 17:31 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.31 |