0x03141505C79F7D82eA4d426105Cb228B4eD92F6d-1766507216051
0x03141505c79f7d82ea4d426105cb228b4ed92f6d
- Realised P&L
- $329.24
- Volume
- $75.4k
- Markets traded
- 371
- Open portfolio
- $992.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded371
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$182.94at 0.382Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16?
- +$82.05at 0.147Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
- +$74.11at 0.301Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?
- +$53.68at 0.320US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?
- +$47.39at 0.640Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:50 | Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0306632223 | $1.60 |
| 09-17 22:49 | Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $4.40 |
| 09-17 22:49 | Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $6.62 |
| 09-17 20:52 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? | SELL | 0.141 | $2.11 |
| 09-17 19:02 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? | BUY | 0.183 | $3.05 |
| 09-17 13:23 | Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.20 |
| 09-17 13:22 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $3.77 |
| 09-17 13:19 | Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.88 |
| 09-17 13:19 | Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 09-17 13:16 | Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown? | SELL | 0.13 | $8.97 |
| 09-17 13:12 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | SELL | 0.21 | $21.00 |
| 09-17 13:11 | Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T? | SELL | 0.34 | $8.15 |
| 09-17 13:10 | Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T? | SELL | 0.35 | $27.66 |
| 09-17 12:57 | Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.48 | $24.00 |
| 09-17 01:07 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $6.86 |