PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Burglarking

0xda0f0d3946338e2a2e4905e6cd9db79defe7d73d

Realised P&L
$29.85
Volume
$821.58
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$142.24

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration54.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? · Yes0.6960.725$60.41+$2.41
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? · No0.7600.755$39.74−$0.26
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.7430.720$29.09−$0.92
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · Yes0.5140.525$9.19+$0.19
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026? · Yes0.2170.105$2.90−$3.10
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4490.409$0.91−$0.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 01:09US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.5199999792$4.00
11-02 01:07US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?BUY0.7199999942$20.00
11-02 01:06Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?BUY0.7426710069$30.00
11-02 01:06Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?SELL0.7419639737$55.19
11-02 01:00Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4489998976$1.00
11-02 01:00US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?BUY0.7599999992$40.00
11-02 00:59NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.87$40.93
10-30 12:20US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.5099999776$5.00
10-30 12:20US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?BUY0.7799999813$5.00
10-30 12:20US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.916$4.41
10-29 09:45Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?BUY0.7399999186$4.00
10-29 09:44NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8499999915$5.00
10-29 09:42NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8499999915$35.00
10-29 09:40Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?BUY0.7399999871$40.00
10-29 09:39US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?SELL0.994$83.82