PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

IronE

0x0b34b69b3acfcf19e589179e0c5894f78261f5a6

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$111.4k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$5.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6910.530$3.0k−$900.64
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · No0.5930.550$985.96−$77.92
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? · Yes0.3570.265$771.90−$267.06
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.2660.500$455.85+$213.25
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5030.265$202.43−$181.91
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? · Yes0.7340.730$125.76−$0.61
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.9080.775$38.36−$6.59
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.0770.035$31.86−$39.28
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31? · Yes0.1400.095$6.45−$3.06
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.0430.005$4.36−$29.64
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2250.000$0.00−$100.00
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $120 end of July? · Yes0.8900.000$0.00−$100.03
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$13.20
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? · No0.4000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July? · Yes0.9370.000$0.00−$3.8k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 15:38Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?BUY0.14$9.51
07-30 15:23Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of July?BUY0.4$9.90
07-30 15:21Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by August 31, 2026?SELL0.96$19.20
07-30 15:10Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of July?BUY0.4$157.58
07-30 15:08Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by August 31, 2026?SELL0.9726105137$65.13
07-30 02:07Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.0T by July 31?SELL0.984$73.80
07-30 01:56Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $120 end of July?SELL0.29$0.90
07-26 08:37Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?BUY0.68$122.40
07-25 13:02SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?BUY0.69$27.60
07-25 06:01Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?SELL0.72$72.00
07-25 05:58Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $100 end of July?BUY0.851$17.02
07-25 05:55SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?BUY0.6390125$20.45
07-25 03:17Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?BUY0.74$12.71
07-25 03:15Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?BUY0.6492781395$279.19
07-25 03:14SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?BUY0.598703395$68.25