PolyBot

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Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.780. down 0.046 over the period, from 0.827. Range 0.707 to 0.833. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8953333
0.899300333
0.900500833
0.90813846
0.94875921
0.9491001,021
0.9501911,212
0.958251,237
0.959201,257
0.9605701,826
0.969501,876
0.9701,2743,150

Spread0.229Mid0.780

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.6661111
0.541616
0.5401026
0.501632
0.5003062
0.485668
0.484100168
0.28130198
0.17639237
0.17566303
0.13440343
0.08710353

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.3341111
0.459616
0.4601026
0.499632
0.5003062
0.515668
0.516100168
0.71930198
0.82439237
0.82566303
0.86640343
0.91310353

Spread0.229Mid0.220

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1053333
0.101300333
0.100500833
0.09213846
0.05275921
0.0511001,021
0.0501911,212
0.042251,237
0.041201,257
0.0405701,826
0.031501,876
0.0301,2743,150

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0xe9BB7FA7f6c3a6aba20fE86a798a1D70DE0aCA35-1770047000567Yes1,552.64
boryambaYes1,181.14
CongoleseKevinWarshYes239.68
xiaoaojiangYes215
k1ngslayerYes201.92
rmnrbshjioYes85
EdgeOfChaosYes80
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934Yes70
387411007415611814092217897387Yes67.22
cry.eth2Yes63.93
jennylulu2016Yes62
human.beanYes57.9
raptor69Yes48.88
SpacePowerYes46.57
NicholasRitter3834Yes43.7
l492Yes38.36
thursdaysYes35
BetterFishYes33.75
donthackmeYes31.1
hdjdjdjhshhYes30

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
11:50:37BUYYes0.747101289341$30.75
06:29:16SELLYes0.684296577190$61.37
20:49:46SELLYes0.77330$23.04
12:16:36BUYYes0.8349999898$6.45
10:52:00SELLYes0.6679$5.90
10:51:21SELLYes0.7791$1.07
18:18:12SELLYes0.83530166676$5.01
16:03:55BUYNo0.16331910$1.63
09:23:18SELLNo0.141622994715$2.12
05:02:54SELLYes0.7053$1.95
20:34:58BUYYes0.70510$7.05
19:44:19SELLYes0.6984$3.10
19:42:19BUYYes0.72199992643$2.00
04:50:31BUYYes0.72199992643$2.00
10:30:34SELLYes0.6985$3.49
23:36:09BUYYes0.7039824838102$71.54
22:00:48BUYNo0.29710$2.97
21:39:54BUYNo0.295$1.45
21:39:54BUYNo0.278678117685$23.69
21:39:54BUYNo0.285734545511$3.14
21:39:54BUYNo0.2883$0.79
21:39:54BUYNo0.2818858$2.26
20:24:22BUYNo0.27810$2.78
20:24:22BUYNo0.2785$1.39
20:24:22BUYNo0.27830$8.34