l492
0x7efb01aa9f01c2a02f028c7c543e5c08702f68a1
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $21.1k
- Markets traded
- 484
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded484
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.95at 0.120Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$89.10at 0.367Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?
- +$84.90at 0.369Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 2?
- +$65.02at 0.189Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 4.5
- +$63.92at 0.136Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-05 23:15 | Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | BUY | 0.85 | $10.89 |
| 04-05 23:15 | Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.66 | $10.89 |
| 04-05 23:14 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.46 |
| 04-05 23:14 | Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03? | BUY | 0.6638243445 | $20.79 |
| 04-05 23:12 | Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.5400811411 | $10.89 |
| 04-05 23:12 | U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15? | BUY | 0.861427145 | $20.79 |
| 04-05 23:12 | Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky? | BUY | 0.8399999568 | $10.89 |
| 04-05 23:12 | Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April? | BUY | 0.48 | $20.58 |
| 04-05 23:12 | Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $20.79 |
| 04-05 23:12 | Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.712799952 | $10.89 |
| 04-05 23:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999947 | $20.24 |
| 04-05 23:12 | Will Liverpool finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.2354111138 | $10.56 |
| 04-05 23:12 | Gemini 3.5 released by June 30? | BUY | 0.7599999956 | $20.79 |
| 04-05 23:12 | Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.711999954 | $10.89 |
| 04-05 23:12 | Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $20.79 |