PolyBot

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Traders

rmnrbshjio

0xb4d7e65d51c1f3a7951c84f0f9b7bed7e939f73a

Realised P&L
$-338.74
Volume
$206.2k
Markets traded
73
Open portfolio
$81.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded73
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? · Yes0.1170.780$66.34+$56.40
Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026? · Yes0.1060.082$7.54$2.21
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0200.008$3.89$5.83
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0230.006$3.25$8.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET · Up0.0270.000$0.00$10.00
Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30? · Anthropic0.0270.000$0.00$16.20
Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$3.78
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$7.36
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00$10.20
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30? · Yes0.1010.000$0.00$8.64
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30? · Yes0.1010.000$0.00$10.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-30 05:27Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETBUY0.02$5.00
06-30 05:27Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETBUY0.04$5.00
06-18 04:57Canva IPO before 2027?SELL0.09$2.32
06-14 20:55Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?BUY0.031$4.16
06-14 20:43Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?BUY0.1026633333$18.48
06-11 19:48Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?BUY0.006$10.00
06-11 19:41Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?BUY0.001$9.06
06-11 19:39Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?BUY0.002$0.20
05-27 03:04GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL0.001$10.00
05-27 03:04GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY0.002$20.00
03-15 14:30Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?BUY0.03$3.78
03-15 14:25Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in March?BUY0.0193734615$2.01
03-02 03:40Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?BUY0.0048063488$3.38
02-26 08:00Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?BUY0.031$4.99
02-25 08:51Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?BUY0.00463716$4.64