EdgeOfChaos
0x896a3897a964b950462c5e5578fa427dcc3d7b9c
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $366.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,587
- Open portfolio
- $4.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,587
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$379.49at 0.460Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$271.71at 0.374LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)
- +$249.00at 0.002Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 2?
- +$207.69at 0.108Broncos vs. Raiders
- +$206.00at 0.791Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:35 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.55 | $110.00 |
| 09-15 21:17 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 09-14 01:09 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 00:43 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31? | BUY | 0.9678658557 | $200.00 |
| 09-12 00:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $200.00 |
| 09-12 00:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.19 | $50.67 |
| 09-08 21:02 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.995 | $19.16 |
| 09-08 21:02 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.996 | $498.00 |
| 08-29 19:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 30? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 08-29 19:07 | Discord IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.226 | $5.20 |
| 08-29 19:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 08-15 01:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.75 | $200.00 |
| 08-12 18:12 | OpenAI IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $7.26 |
| 08-09 07:21 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.8369947423 | $73.23 |
| 08-09 07:20 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.7 | $102.31 |