PolyBot

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Traders

EdgeOfChaos

0x896a3897a964b950462c5e5578fa427dcc3d7b9c

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$366.4k
Markets traded
1,587
Open portfolio
$4.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,587
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9610.954$1.1k$8.92
Human moon landing in 2026? · No0.9720.986$492.75+$6.75
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31? · Yes0.9680.967$199.72$0.28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9490.995$198.90+$9.10
EU dissolves before 2027? · No0.9680.986$197.10+$3.50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9200.959$191.80+$7.80
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · No0.8980.920$184.00+$4.40
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · No0.7400.805$161.00+$13.00
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No0.9780.997$149.47+$2.83
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.7500.814$147.55+$11.55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5500.495$99.00$11.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9600.981$98.05+$2.05
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9260.958$95.75+$3.15
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? · No0.6790.900$93.28+$22.90
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.7400.875$91.50+$14.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 01:35Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.55$110.00
09-15 21:17Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.93$46.50
09-14 01:09Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2199999974$5.00
09-13 00:43Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?BUY0.9678658557$200.00
09-12 00:30Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8099999993$200.00
09-12 00:29Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.19$50.67
09-08 21:02Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.995$19.16
09-08 21:02Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.996$498.00
08-29 19:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 30?BUY0.38$1.90
08-29 19:07Discord IPO before 2027?SELL0.226$5.20
08-29 19:05Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETBUY0.56$5.60
08-15 01:23Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.75$200.00
08-12 18:12OpenAI IPO before 2027?SELL0.16$7.26
08-09 07:21Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.8369947423$73.23
08-09 07:20Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.7$102.31