raptor69
0x80339439f45f2ea397892f835d74d9bf84096614
- Realised P&L
- $-85.52
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $66.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? · Yes | 0.761 | 0.778 | $38.06 | +$0.86 |
| Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? · Yes | 0.172 | 0.107 | $27.50 | −$16.82 |
| Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in September 2026? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.006 | $0.82 | −$7.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-2.96at 0.031Will SpaceX have 15+ launches in September 2026?
- +$-62.57at 0.175Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 11:50 | Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? | BUY | 0.7471012893 | $30.75 |
| 09-14 19:17 | Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in September 2026? | BUY | 0.0733688176 | $5.59 |
| 09-14 11:21 | Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in September 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 09-13 12:16 | Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? | BUY | 0.834999989 | $6.45 |
| 09-10 07:56 | Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.74 |
| 09-10 03:08 | Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $7.82 |
| 09-10 01:59 | Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026? | SELL | 0.0754296161 | $8.25 |
| 09-09 22:15 | Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999988 | $17.43 |
| 09-09 20:09 | Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $3.47 |
| 09-09 18:45 | Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999974 | $8.41 |
| 09-09 15:07 | Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.68 |
| 09-08 04:02 | Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? | BUY | 0.1728827538 | $16.22 |
| 09-07 23:55 | Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $4.88 |
| 09-07 15:10 | Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026? | BUY | 0.2305053129 | $8.65 |
| 09-07 12:05 | Will SpaceX have 15+ launches in September 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.29 |