PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

raptor69

0x80339439f45f2ea397892f835d74d9bf84096614

Realised P&L
$-85.52
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$66.38

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? · Yes0.7610.778$38.06+$0.86
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? · Yes0.1720.107$27.50$16.82
Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in September 2026? · Yes0.0680.006$0.82$7.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 11:50Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?BUY0.7471012893$30.75
09-14 19:17Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in September 2026?BUY0.0733688176$5.59
09-14 11:21Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in September 2026?BUY0.06$3.00
09-13 12:16Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?BUY0.834999989$6.45
09-10 07:56Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026?SELL0.04$1.74
09-10 03:08Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026?SELL0.05$7.82
09-10 01:59Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026?SELL0.0754296161$8.25
09-09 22:15Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026?BUY0.1799999988$17.43
09-09 20:09Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026?BUY0.17$3.47
09-09 18:45Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026?BUY0.1699999974$8.41
09-09 15:07Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026?BUY0.14$1.68
09-08 04:02Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?BUY0.1728827538$16.22
09-07 23:55Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026?SELL0.13$4.88
09-07 15:10Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026?BUY0.2305053129$8.65
09-07 12:05Will SpaceX have 15+ launches in September 2026?SELL0.003$0.29