PolyBot

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Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.004. down 0.005 over the period, from 0.009. Range 0.003 to 0.011. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0061010
0.009100110
0.01010120
0.01262182
0.02019201
0.02219220
0.03025245
0.04850295
0.04984379
0.05059438
0.08795533
0.08820553

Spread0.005Mid0.004

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0012,1942,194

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9992,1942,194

Spread0.005Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9941010
0.991100110
0.99010120
0.98862182
0.98019201
0.97819220
0.97025245
0.95250295
0.95184379
0.95059438
0.91395533
0.91220553

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes700
rosyprosperityYes230.92
LornaPredictsYes166.71
TENETENETYes100
74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.Yes100
0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256Yes55.58
a5533Yes50
VonVonaghYes43.75
sanduspaceYes40
AJSVYes37.25
0xca75…0a64Yes20
triklozoidYes20
Mojito9Yes20
jozeslemsekYes15
kevinsdad1Yes9.95
donthackmeYes7.63
0xA05C4259e96B0aE00FeAa737214bF8Bf4e8b6f9F-1731150808149Yes6
haveagooddayYes3.13
LucerysYes1.78
0xa5ef…2966No1,627.91

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:36:57BUYNo0.99910$9.99
21:36:57BUYNo0.99920$19.96
08:49:37BUYNo0.9997$6.99
14:06:10BUYNo0.99915$14.98
14:06:09BUYNo0.99931$30.57
01:54:18BUYNo0.99910$9.99
01:54:10BUYNo0.99820$19.96
01:54:07BUYNo0.99810$9.98
21:52:19BUYNo0.99940$39.96
21:47:04BUYNo0.9999$8.99
21:47:03BUYNo0.99930$29.97
21:25:45BUYNo0.99910$9.99
16:19:40BUYNo0.99810$9.98
16:19:40BUYNo0.99710$9.97
13:37:42BUYNo0.99810$9.98
13:37:42BUYNo0.99810$9.98
13:27:12BUYNo0.99810$9.98
04:44:48BUYNo0.9989$8.98
23:15:00BUYYes0.00315$0.04
14:11:31BUYNo0.998115$114.77
14:11:30BUYNo0.997036133375$74.78
14:11:30BUYNo0.99710$9.97
08:42:55BUYNo0.99710$9.97
08:42:54BUYNo0.99710$9.97
21:15:03BUYNo0.9963$2.73