0x827d37fbb0e2f9b83907512e7e213e97a9bbc558
0x827d37fbb0e2f9b83907512e7e213e97a9bbc558
- Realised P&L
- $-4.05
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 317
- Open portfolio
- $5.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded317
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.39at 0.203Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
- +$3.70at 0.224Dogecoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
- +$2.95at 0.713Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- +$2.94at 0.266BNB Up or Down - September 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
- +$2.93at 0.747Will Ukraine target Moscow by September 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 14:23 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.33 |
| 09-20 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 08:43 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.0034713656 | $0.47 |
| 09-20 08:39 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.44 |
| 09-20 08:34 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.2252252252 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 21:35 | Will Ukraine target Moscow by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $13.37 |
| 09-15 14:56 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on September 15? | SELL | 0.58 | $1.57 |
| 09-15 14:02 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on September 15? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 14:20 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 08:01 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.9 | $15.25 |
| 09-13 09:24 | Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.1389999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 09:23 | Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the September meeting? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.55 |
| 09-13 09:19 | Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.8739999781 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 09:00 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.126 | $2.08 |
| 09-13 08:51 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1269999929 | $2.10 |