SulkingCrypto
0xe123c76f6bb0a94a68f5da21ed9bacf172f22fc1
- Realised P&L
- $-658.60
- Volume
- $24.2k
- Markets traded
- 216
- Open portfolio
- $561.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded216
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.11at 0.094Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?
- +$70.59at 0.110Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$46.55at 0.150Gemini Argon released by October 31, 2026?
- +$40.09at 0.320Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
- +$38.16at 0.140Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 07:31 | Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | BUY | 0.8536537313 | $57.19 |
| 10-12 07:30 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.25 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $19.90 |
| 10-12 07:21 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.674 | $41.79 |
| 10-12 07:06 | Will Post Malone perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 10-12 07:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $6.00 |
| 10-12 06:32 | Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.00 |
| 10-12 06:18 | Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September? | BUY | 0.929 | $32.52 |
| 10-12 06:17 | Will JPMorgan say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.047 | $0.81 |
| 10-12 06:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $76.00 |
| 10-12 05:26 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.6742908333 | $40.46 |
| 10-12 05:26 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $5.32 |
| 10-12 05:04 | Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.957742 | $38.31 |
| 10-12 05:04 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.799 | $31.96 |
| 10-12 04:49 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $228 Week of October 12 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $24.42 |
| 10-12 04:45 | Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.64 |