SulkingCrypto
0xe123c76f6bb0a94a68f5da21ed9bacf172f22fc1
- Realised P&L
- $-586.65
- Volume
- $9.8k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $127.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)13.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SoundHound AI (SOUN) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.565 | $33.89 | −$0.91 |
| Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.315 | $19.21 | −$8.23 |
| Will News Corp (NWSA) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.250 | 0.165 | $17.32 | −$8.93 |
| Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.320 | 0.310 | $16.17 | −$0.52 |
| Will ICU Medical (ICUI) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.110 | 0.031 | $14.63 | −$37.29 |
| Will ZoomInfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.150 | 0.045 | $9.63 | −$22.47 |
| Will New York Times (NYT) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.100 | 0.025 | $8.43 | −$24.77 |
| Will Frontdoor (FTDR) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.140 | 0.065 | $8.00 | −$9.22 |
| Will CBOE (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.40 |
| Will Royal Caribbean (RCL) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.23 |
| Will Penske (PAG) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.90 |
| Will Cigna Group (CI) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.00at 0.200Will Uber Technologies (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$3.28at 0.260Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$2.63at 0.190Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$1.41at 0.350Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$0.54at 0.520Will Celsius Holdings (CELH) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 08:34 | Will TKO Group (TKO) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.211 | $0.99 |
| 07-30 05:48 | Will TKO Group (TKO) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.04 |
| 07-26 16:04 | Will Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.72 | $7.34 |
| 07-26 05:59 | Will CBOE (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 07-26 05:37 | Will CBOE (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 07-26 00:25 | Will Royal Caribbean (RCL) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.23 | $11.59 |
| 07-26 00:24 | Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.63 | $44.31 |