Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2028-01-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.14. down 0.12 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.14 to 0.28. 16 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.14	101	101
0.15	48	149
0.16	551	700
0.17	140	840
0.19	20	860
0.20	20	880
0.26	80	960
0.27	40	1,000
0.29	20	1,020
0.30	200	1,220
0.31	200	1,420
0.57	5	1,425

Spread0.01Mid0.14

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.13	531	531
0.12	40	571
0.10	21	592
0.09	300	892
0.08	40	933
0.07	71	1,004
0.06	90	1,094
0.05	100	1,194
0.04	125	1,319
0.03	167	1,486
0.01	58	1,544

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.87	531	531
0.88	40	571
0.90	21	592
0.91	300	892
0.92	40	933
0.93	71	1,004
0.94	90	1,094
0.95	100	1,194
0.96	125	1,319
0.97	167	1,486
0.99	58	1,544

Spread0.01Mid0.86

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.86	101	101
0.85	48	149
0.84	551	700
0.83	140	840
0.81	20	860
0.80	20	880
0.74	80	960
0.73	40	1,000
0.71	20	1,020
0.70	200	1,220
0.69	200	1,420
0.43	5	1,425

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
GuyFromTinder	Yes	100
AJSV	Yes	63.07
galhammerman	Yes	61
0x888888888	Yes	60
Haradwaith	Yes	60
boofa	Yes	40
0x26DF23C7331DA960EAcbEDa6056d93b8b7100eb0-1776277233645	Yes	28.27
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.	Yes	20
0x7943…29b4	Yes	20
D222222222	Yes	20
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F	Yes	20
DbK-518	Yes	20
maomao228	Yes	20
JsonStatham	Yes	19.89
laureman	No	491.33
Bperil	No	40.23
0x25e7…45cd	No	20
HosoTrader	No	1.06

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
23:13:15	SELL	Yes	0.13	23	$2.99
23:11:44	BUY	No	0.87	23	$20.00
23:11:17	SELL	Yes	0.13	17	$2.21
23:11:02	BUY	No	0.869999993	17	$15.00
21:11:56	SELL	No	0.85	2	$1.75
21:11:56	SELL	No	0.85	529	$449.88
21:03:23	SELL	Yes	0.14	2	$0.28
21:03:15	SELL	Yes	0.14	2	$0.28
21:01:38	SELL	Yes	0.14	2	$0.28
21:01:17	SELL	Yes	0.14	2	$0.28
20:59:42	SELL	Yes	0.14	2	$0.30
20:37:17	SELL	Yes	0.13	20	$2.60
18:55:18	SELL	No	0.8	0	$0.09
18:55:17	SELL	Yes	0.08	30	$2.40
18:54:05	BUY	No	0.9199999816	2	$2.00
18:54:02	BUY	No	0.7337239616	559	$410.35
18:54:02	BUY	No	0.76	20	$15.20
14:38:41	SELL	No	0.71	3	$2.17
14:38:39	BUY	Yes	0.2899999967	43	$12.49
13:30:21	BUY	Yes	0.28	20	$5.60